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今日重要数据公布:(5month23day)

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14:45 France4Monthly consumer expenditure rate‧forecast+0.7%‧Previous value-1.7%
15:00 France5Monthly Comprehensive Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)initial value‧Previous value53.9
15:00 France5Monthly Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)initial value‧forecast51.0‧Previous value51.1
15:00 France5Monthly Service Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)initial value‧forecast53.0‧Previous value52.8
15:30 Germany5Monthly comprehensivePMIinitial value‧Previous value55.0
15:30 Germany5Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value‧forecast53.2‧Previous value53.6
15:30 Germany5Monthly service industryPMIinitial value‧forecast54.0‧Previous value54.9
15:30 UK Q1 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)Seasonal rate correction‧forecast+0.4%‧initial value+0.4%
15:30 UK Q1 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)Annual rate correction‧forecast+2.5%‧initial value+2.5%
16:00 eurozoneNTC 5Monthly Comprehensive Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)‧forecast51.6‧Previous value51.9
16:00 eurozoneNTC 5Monthly Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)‧forecast50.5‧Previous value50.7 ★
16:00 eurozoneNTC 5Monthly Service Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)‧forecast51.7‧Previous value52.0 ★
22:00 U.S.A4Annual sales rate of monthly completed houses‧forecast48510000 households‧Previous value49310000 households ★★
5month24day
01:30 美国市场提早休市 ★

5month22day
港金息率:低息15Hong Kong dollars
LondongoldMorning order price:928.25
London gold afternoon fixing price:922.75
London Silver Set Price:17.82
黄金伦敦收盘(23:15):920.70 / 921.70
黄金纽约收盘(02:15):917.60 / 918.80
NYMEX 6月期金: 开市价:926.00 - 收市价:918.10
最高价:928.00 - 最低价:918.30
周四数据显示,美国房价在第一季的跌幅达到创纪录的1.7%,且续领失业金人数维持在四年高位,突显出经济形势的晦暗。联邦房地产企业监管办公室(OFHEO)称,第一季房价指数较上年同期下挫3.1%,像环比一样,同比跌幅也是该数据推出17The largest since the beginning of the year.OFHEOcall3月房价较2Monthly decline0.4%, compared to2007year4月达到的高位下降3.7%,此前其它一些房价指标甚至显示更大的下滑。劳工部的报告显示,美国5month17日当周初请失业金人数意外减少9,000Person to36.5万人;但5month10日当周的续领失业金人数维持在307.3万人,最近一次超过这个数目是在2004year3Month.
美元周四全面上涨,但不断创出纪录高点的油价,以及美国联邦储备理事会(FED)调降经济成长预估,增加了人们对美国经济可能走向滞胀的担忧。本周公布的欧元区经济数据强劲,以及通膨居高不下,推动欧元兑美元升至一个月高位1.5814,但获利回吐打压欧元回落,美国一周初请失业金数据好于预期,支撑美元,数据显示美国劳工市场仍然未达到典型的全面衰退水准。市场仍然关注crude oil走势,美国原油futuresJump up to each barrel135美元上方,今年迄今油价已上涨40%,加深了美国经济陷入滞胀的忧虑,但油价尾盘走软,结算价报130.81USD, down2.36美元。由于油价周四小幅下跌,美元稍稍扳回前期跌幅。但不断创出纪录高点的油价,以及FED调降经济成长预估,增加了人们对美国经济可能走向滞胀的担忧。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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