Jinlinzi: Nonfarm bearish, silver skyrockets, how to solve the trap of orders?

writing/Jinlinzi (WeChat:JLZ5186）

【 Message 】:
　　目前油市主要受两大利空因素拖累，一是美国页岩油“来势汹汹”，库存屡创历史新高，令市场意识到，油市在OPECDespite the reduction in production, it still remains in a serious state of oversupply; Secondly, the possibility of oil producing countries extending the deadline and scale of production cuts is relatively low, which means that the oversupply in the oil market is still difficult to solve.
　　3.10 Non farm data is bearish, why is the market not falling but rising? Jin Linzi believes there are two reasons:
　　①北京时间周五（3month10Day)21:30Published in the United States2Growth of non-agricultural employment population after seasonal adjustment23.5Ten thousand people, far exceeding expectations19Ten thousand people, former value from22.7Ten thousand people have reached the highest level of cultivation23.8Ten thousand people;2The monthly unemployment rate is4.7%, consistent with expectations, previous value was4.8%However, due to the average hourly wage rate falling short of expectations for two consecutive months, after the release of non farm payroll data, gold and silver saw short-term gains, while spot prices rosegoldRising and breaking1200Pass; The US Composite Index is experiencing a short-term decline30Point, non US currencies are rising.
　　②因市场对美国非农数据的乐观数据和加息前景的预期，相对乐观的非农数据公布后，很多空头趁机获利了结。
　　非农利空为何黄金白银短线上涨？
　　非农数据公布前市场基本都是预计利空的，现在非农数据公布出炉如期利空，但是行情却没有如期那般下跌。反而在数据公布后短线上涨了逾5Analysis of the US dollar and the golden forest: Firstly, the negative expectations for the beautiful non farm payroll have been digested by the market in advance, and the US dollar index fell and weakened during the trading session. After the data was released, the gold price rose in the short term, and at the same time, some bears took advantage of the non farm payroll data to take profits.

　　【3.13silvercrude oilAnalysis:
　　本周白银的走势与黄金几乎是同步的，从周一至周四白银单边暴跌，连收四阴，昨日周线收官终于收得一根小阳柱，从日线图看，均线系统仍然高位死叉运行，白银上方承压于60Daily moving average17.16The pressure on the front line, but from4Looking at the hourly chart, it seems that silver is entering a rebound mode,4It can be seen from the hour that silver has broken through60The suppression of the daily moving average creates significant upward potential above, so next week we can focus on the rebound of silver and pay attention to the upward trend17.16The pressure level on the front line, if we cannot break through, we will lay out empty positions at a high level.
　　原油从技术面来看，“断头铡刀”形态后面伴随的一般是进一步的深跌，但目前跌破48.5It is uncertain whether the Great Wall can continue to decline, and at the same timeKThere is also a demand for a rebound to repair the market when the line falls below the lower limit of the Bollinger Band,MACDThe indicator's speed line is also at a low level, but the green momentum column is still increasing, indicating that there is still downward momentum. But there is a trend of shrinking in the future!
　　综合来看，短线上油价不会跌穿48.5The US dollar barrier,EIAThe negative news will not continue to affect for a long time, and crude oil will still return to a bullish trend. This wave of medium to long term long term long positions has considerable profits, and the target position can be seen55The US dollar, this opportunity is rare, don't always hesitate, don't miss the chance and never come again!
　　【3.13Gold and Silver Crude Oil Operation Suggestions:
　　黄金：亚欧盘反弹1208Make an empty order nearby, target1200Stop loss1212
　　白银：回落到16.9Operate multiple orders nearby, this order is a mid line order, you can boldly hold it and see the profit above19dollar
　　原油：反弹48.7Short selling nearby, target48USD, stop loss49.1
　　【原油多单解套策略】：
　　本周原油价格可谓是空头格外强势，短线上油价基本陷入空头困局里面，49The checkpoint has once again been breached, and the bearish trend of oil prices is clear. The trend of crude oil next week is bearish, and the medium-term trend of crude oil has turned bearish; So currently, there are still many crude oil prices being trapped, don't expect oil prices to rise back immediately,50-55The oscillation range has been broken, and there will definitely be a period of adjustment after the oil price breaks the level and falls; In addition, the current oil market fundamentals are bearish, and the outlook for the future of crude oil remains bearish. With so much analysis, all I want to say is that those who have been trapped in multiple orders should be eliminated. Currently, there are multiple trapped Jinlinzi who suggest a rebound next week50Stop loss near the US dollar and exit. currently50As a pressure level for next week's oil prices, the checkpoint remains unbroken50The bearish trend may continue.
  The author Jin Linzi is a senior analyst at the Shanghai Gold Exchange, specializing in goldtd silvertd Weipan crude oil, silver, and natural gas have unique insights that help you stay at the forefront of finance. Investment does not aim for overnight wealth, but for stability and long-term success.
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