【金辰浩】：3.9黄金原油悬崖式暴跌，聚焦黑色星期五大非农

Message Analysis

从消息面来看，北京时间周三（3month8Day)21:15Published in the United States2monthADPNew employment data recorded an increase29.810000 people, previous value corrected to increase26.1Ten thousand people, expected to increase19Ten thousand people. United States2monthADPEmployment creation2015year12The largest increase since the beginning of the month. Significantly better than expectedADPAfter the release of employment data, US Treasury yields jumped,10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has risen to12New high since the beginning of the month2.563%The US dollar index rose to3month3At the highest level in recent days, spot gold and silver fell sharply in the short term,goldfall drastically1210dollar/ounce. according toCMEFederal Reserve Observation, Expectations3Probability of monthly Fed interest rate hike90.8%，6Probability of monthly interest rate hikes95.9%The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at least three times this year is58%。

【crude oil技术面分析及操作建议】

从黄金方面来看，黄金日线形态呈现明显的空头趋势，行情至去年美联储宣布加息之后从1127便开始反弹，在1180行情再次受到支撑最高在1261附近遇阻，目前连续多日收阴，不过这波行情的走弱绝大部分是由于基本面的利空造成。目前黄金已跌破多个关口，目前的支撑位在1205-1200区域，若金价不能在此之上企稳，则有可能进一步跌破1200的整数关口。3月份也是欧洲大选的关键月份，从目前的情况来看，欧洲政局不稳或许还能为近期的金价提供一些支撑。ADP数据向好无疑会增加加息的概率，本次在加息的影响下金价再次面临下行,那么首先我们需要注意的是最为关键的地方1200关口支撑，反弹需关注1215as well as1235阻力，操作我建议反弹做空为主。

金辰浩：jinchenhao098

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

1Touching1200做超短多盈利出局，止损5Points, target1210；

2Rebound1220Short selling, stop loss5Points, target1210

；

【原油技术面分析及操作建议】

从原油方面来看，从日线图上看油价连续两天收阴，今日内延续空头趋势维持弱势整理，布林带呈缩口运行，上方受到中轨53美元附近压制，下方受下轨于50One line support for the US dollar.MA5/MA10均线于高位死叉于52.9，MACDstay0轴上方交死叉运行，绿色动能放量呈中性，松潇预计油价仍有进一步下行风险。昨晚EIA公布之后先涨后跌，现价一跌至50.3美元附近，下方已无强力支撑，操作我建议以反弹做空为主。

金辰浩：jinchenhao098

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

1Suggestions50.5美元轻仓多单进场，止损0.3US dollars, target direction51.2USD;

2Suggestions51.8Empty order entry, stop loss53US dollars, target direction52Support, break through and look towards50.8USD;

我有带你赚钱的实力，也有带你翻仓的魄力。如果你有魄力，你就来找我。

人在做天在看，点位到了就干，点位不到就看，一想二干三成功，一等二看三落空。没有不赚钱的投资，只有不成功的操作！没有模糊的区间，只有精确的做单点位；是否盈利在于买涨买跌时机的把握。想是问题，做是答案;Lose in hesitation, win in action!我不能保证你一夜的暴富，我只追求帮你长期稳健获利！

佛度有缘人，我带有心人。

金辰浩VLetter:jinchenhao098

温馨提示：行情瞬息万变，以上建议仅供参考，实时做单以作者金辰浩老师实盘指导为准