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【易心论金】APIBearish3.8现货原油、白银早间操作建议

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Wednesday(3month8day)亚市盘初,受美国公布APIcrude oil库存大增影响,加之周三凌晨时段公布EIA月报上调原油增量预期,国际油价应声下跌近1%,最低触52.71dollar/桶,目前有所回升,目前交投在52.8Above the US dollar.

  APIAnnouncement, as of3month3During the current week, US crude oil inventories increased1160Ten thousand barrels, to5.296亿桶,分析师预估为增加200Ten thousand barrels. Increase in inventory of Kuxin crude oil78.8万桶。此外,上周汽油库存减少500万桶,分析师预估为减少140万桶。上周精炼油库存减少290万桶,分析师预估为减少90万桶。在API数据显示上周美国原油库存增幅远超预期后,油价扩大跌幅。

  EIA上调今年美国原油产量增长预估但下调明年增幅预估

US Energy Information Administration(EIA)Tuesday(3month7day)发布月度短期能源展望报告称,今年美国原油产量增幅将大于之前的预估,美国原油产量将于2018年达到纪录高点。详细数据显示,EIAexpect2017年美国原油日产量将增加33万桶,由去年的888万桶升至921万桶。上月预计为按年增加10万桶。同时2018年美国原油日产量将增加52Ten thousand barrels, to973万桶。上月预计为按年增加55Ten thousand barrels.

  油价受此两大利空影响,承压下跌,目前虽有所回调,但晚间将迎来EIA库存数据,从今日公布美国API原油库存大增来看,EIA料再次增加利空油市,原油多头或要哭晕。

Technical analysis of crude oil--

MorningAPI公布大幅利空,目前美国页岩油产量不断增加,以及当前俄罗斯国家却未完全履行减产协议,油市多头似乎感到不安。技术面来看昨日触顶反弹的行情,日线收了一根上影线的阴柱,昨日各周期指标似乎走的多头趋势,目前被硬生生的打成了空头放量的趋势,当前各周期K线不断的收取阴线,空头能量强劲。当前从四小时图来看,油价还是走的一个下行趋势,目前价格受前期低点支撑,EIA前夕的惯例,日内操作暂且以震荡来对待(重点关注EIA月度报告,结合此消息布局晚间EIA数据,敬请期待)

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

  1Suggestions53.3-53.5进空,止损默认,目标52.7;

  2Suggestions52.3-52.5进多,止损默认,目标53.0;

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