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短期内美元指数或难进一步突破

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Huitong Network3month7Daily News - Tuesday(3month7day)According to data from the People's Bank of China, the central parity rate between the Chinese yuan and the US dollar is reported6.8957元,较上日下调167点,并调降至1month17日以来最弱水平。市场人士指出,尽管美联储3月加息概率较高对人民币汇率造成一定压力,但短期内美元指数或难进一步突破,加之国内经济基本面、政策面的支撑,预计人民币汇率将继续企稳。

人民币中间价下调167点,创近七周最弱水平

Institutional perspective

瑞穗银行策略师张建泰在报告中指出,随着市场对人民币的情绪逐步稳定,政府工作报告中有关人民币措辞的调整显示,政府允许人民币汇率弹性加大。预计今年中国将进一步稳定人民币贬值预期,并推进人民币国际化。

兴业证券王涵认为,强调“坚持汇率市场化改革方向,保持人民币在全球货币体系中的稳定地位”,但没有提到“汇率在合理均衡水平上基本稳定”,这并不意味着政府会放任人民币贬值,而可能是在汇率有企稳迹象的背景下,着手稳步推进汇率市场化改革。

德国商业银行首席中国经济师周浩表示,定价机制微调后,目前中间价的预测可以做到较为精确,基本吻合官方给出的计算公式,央行将进一步放手给市场。
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