Post a new post
Open the left side

易利达汇评:欧美数据天壤之别

[Copy Link]
326 0

Register now, make more friends, enjoy more functions, and let you play in the community easily.

You need Sign in Can be downloaded or viewed without an account?Register Now WeChat login

x
Fundamentals
5month8日欧洲央行货币政策会议召开前后,欧元曾一度逼近1.40关口,但之后在欧洲央行下月宽松预期加重的背景之下,欧元/美元自高点一路下挫,加之欧元区经济数据疲软,汇价跌至3Month low1.3615,周线也录得3周跌势,跌幅接近380个点。上周五公布的德国IFO经济景气及现况指数均不及预期,数据显示德国5monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index110.4Expected to be111.1;而德国5monthIFO商业现况指数为114.8.预期为115.6。近期欧洲央行行长德拉基暗示将在6month5日采取宽松行动,尽管市场预期央行行动效果不大,但是欧元还是在乌克兰局势、欧盟选举以及由此造成的二线国债风险中不断下滑,日线图上欧元/美元已经跌破200日移动均线。短期来看,除了欧银宽松预期,本周末的欧洲议会选举可能将给欧元营造额外的下行风险。此外,路透本周访问分析师的调查报告显示,预计欧洲央行(ECB)下个月将下调基准利率,并将存款利率降至负值,以阻止通胀率进一步下滑. 本周四凌晨02:00公布美联储4月最新货币政策会议纪要,此前美联储4月货币政策会议决定将每月资产购买规模进一步缩减100100 million US dollars to450亿美元,一如市场预期。同时美联储还将联邦基金利率维持在0-0.25%区间不变。会议纪要内容显示,联储决策者讨论了货币正常化相关议题,但是与会委员认为美联储货币政策正常化的工具还有更多测试。本次公布的会纪要内容似乎了无新意,金融市场反应平淡。Fed会议纪要公布后,美元指数应声上涨至80.30,但随后自高点回落;美国30年期国债收益率上扬1个大点,随后削减涨幅;美国股市扩大涨幅,道指上扬1%,但随后也削减涨幅,这表明本次会议纪要并未对金融市场产生太大影响
Technical aspect
周线上看,欧元双头形成,目前在进入下一通道中,MACD向下柱线缩短,STOCHDead cross, 欧元有进一步下跌的风险

易利达汇评:欧美数据天壤之别745 / author:{易利达} / PostsID:49994
"Small gifts, come to Huiyi to support me"
No one has offered a reward yet. Give me some support
comiis_nologin
You need to log in before you can reply Sign in | Register Now WeChat login

Point rules of this version

more

Customer Service Center

238-168-2638 QQcustomer service Monday to Friday 20:00-24:00
Quick reply Back to top Back to list