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人民币等非美货币有所承压

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Huitong Network2month20Daily News - Monday(2month20day)According to data from the People's Bank of China, the central parity rate between the Chinese yuan and the US dollar is reported6.8743Yuan, significantly lower than the previous day287点,下调幅度创1month9日以来最大。近期美国表现靓丽的经济数据以及美联储表态偏鹰派,为美元的中长期升值前景打下基础,令人民币等非美货币有所承压。

不过也有分析人士认为,从今年以来总体走势来看,人民币汇率稳定性显然在增强,汇率有升有降的双向浮动逐渐成为一种常态。

人民币中间价大幅下调287点,创近六周最大降幅

Institutional perspective

瑞穗证券亚洲首席经济学家沈建光发表报告表示,该行将人民币兑美元在2017年年中的预测调强至6.9,将年底预测调升至7.1。理由是,中国当局对资本管制的收紧、升高利息、以及优于预期的经济基本面,都将支撑人民币汇率。人民币的进一步贬值可能会导致中美贸易摩擦,中国可能更倾向于在今年保持汇率稳定。

法兴银行黄浣蒨表示,离岸人民币的溢价还会持续一段时间,这主要是因为中国当局切实执行了跨境资金流动的监管措施,令流出的资金流减少,离岸流动性持续抽紧,人民币空头减少。她还补充道,近期美元从高位回落,美元多头减少,亚洲货币走势也出现反转,离岸人民币一定程度也受到提振。

中国人民银行国际司司长朱隽表示,人民币兑美元汇率从高点6.05到目前已回调13%左右,调整幅度业已不少。当前中国国际收支不属于严重失衡,不认同人民币会经历巨大调整的观点。
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