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欧元兑瑞郎高位回落

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Huitong Network2month14Daily News - Tuesday(2month14day)欧市盘初,欧元兑瑞郎高位回落,回吐亚市尾盘的部分涨幅,现交投于1.0663frontline.

according toFX678观察,法国农业信贷(Credit Agricole)的观点为,过去数周瑞郎一直受良好支撑,主因为意大利和法国大选的不确定性提升市场对避险资产的需求。具体观点如下。

欧元兑瑞郎与欧元区外围国债收益率价差密切相关,由此可见一斑。此外市场一直存在这样的预期,即瑞士央行逼近政策极限,特别是考虑到其资产负债表仍在扩大。

法农:宜于1.0600下方低买欧/瑞,聚焦瑞士通胀表现

不过由于瑞士通胀仍低企,且瑞郎表现被视为瑞士货币政策的主导因素,该行预计近期瑞士央行货币政策立场将仍激进。

从这个角度来看,需密切关注北京时间周二16:15将公布的瑞士1Monthly consumer price index(CPI),料不大可能暗示瑞士物价改善。

随着诸如KOF等更多前瞻指标显示经济增长前景低迷,瑞士经济增长的强劲程度,料不足以抵消被高估瑞郎对通胀的冲击。
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