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澳元兑美元震荡下行

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Huitong Network2month13Daily news——
Monday(2month13Day)
AUD
Exchange
dollar
震荡下行,从近一周高位滑落,目前仍交投于0.77关口下方,主要在
USD Index
劲升至101关口上方,以及未来
澳洲联储
或将持续维持宽松立场的打压下,澳元承压下挫。


本周伊始,美元指数便在周一早盘升破101整数关口,刷新近一个月高位至101.03。汇通网分析认为,主要是在
U.S.A
总统
Trump
表示未来几周将公布税改计划,推动美元指数走高,
Federal Reserve
未来加息可能也进一步攀升。


根据联邦
fundinterest rate
及隔夜指数
互换
得出数据,美联储在3月份加息概率为15%,6月则达到78%,fx678认为,在美元走强的情况下澳元也受到压制。


美银美林指出,近期美联储数位官员讲话均对市场表示,不排除3月加息的可能,本周
Yellen
讲话料不会较预期偏向鸽派,因此3月加息可能将随之上升,不排除上升至接近50%The possibility of.


自上周澳洲联储维持利率1.50%的历史最低水平不变后,近期
IMF
也警告称
Australiacurrency
政策应该维持宽松,这也在一定程度上打压了澳元的走势。


Technically,
4小时图中,澳元兑美元上方阻力位关注0.77Integer level,11month8Daily high point0.7777as well as0.78整数关口。反之,下方支撑位关注20Periodic moving average0.7645as well as0.76Near the integer checkpoint.


Federal Reservehttp://news.fx678.com/news/keywords/fed.shtml
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