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近期欧元区经济增长已加速

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Huitong Network2month13Daily News - Monday(2month13day)亚市盘中,欧元兑美元小幅下探后略微走高,震荡下行后略微回升,现交投于1.0622frontline.

according toFX678Observation, Imperial Commercial Bank of Canada(CIBC)表示,尽管近期欧元区经济增长已加速,但仍有理由在短期内对欧元持谨慎立场。具体观点如下。

CIBC:短期对欧元持谨慎立场,一季度末下看1.04

尽管近期欧元区经济表现与金融危机前高位重叠,但大规模的产出缺口将令欧洲央行在一定时间内维持刺激性货币政策。今年大选季拉开帷幕前,欧洲民粹主义的升温将拖累欧元,希腊债务协商也将再度冲击欧元。

相对金融危机前水平而言,目前希腊经济大幅走软,类似于大萧条最严重时美国经济的表现。希腊的困境更显持久,部分原因为欧元区货币政策对希腊而言,仍显得过于严厉。若希腊债务协商再度升温,市场上有关希腊是否最好退出欧元区的预期将重燃。
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