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今日重要数据公布:(5month14day)

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14:40 France4Monthly Consumer Price Reconciliation Index(HICP)Monthly rate final value‧forecast+0.4%‧Previous value+0.8%
14:40 France4Monthly Consumer Price Reconciliation Index(HICP)Annual rate final value‧forecast+3.4%‧Previous value+3.5%
16:00 Italy4monthCPIMonthly rate final value‧forecast+0.1%, Previous value+0.5%
16:00 Italy4monthCPIAnnual rate final value‧forecast+3.3%, Previous value+3.3%
16:00 Italy4monthHICPMonthly rate final value‧forecast+0.5%, Previous value+1.6%
16:00 Italy4monthHICPAnnual rate final value‧forecast+3.5%, Previous value+3.6%
16:30 britain4月请领失业金人数变动‧预测不变‧Previous value-1200
16:30 britain3月国际劳工组织(ILO)Standard unemployment rate‧forecast5.2%‧Previous value5.2%
16:30 britain3月三个月平均所得年率,预测+3.7%, Previous value+3.7%
17:00 eurozone3Monthly industrial production rate‧forecast-0.3%, Previous value+0.3%
17:00 eurozone3Monthly industrial production annual rate‧forecast+2.4%, Previous value+3.1%
20:30 U.S.A4Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Monthly rate‧forecast+0.3%‧Previous value+0.3%
20:30 U.S.A4Monthly consumer price index(CPI)the annual rate‧forecast+4.0%‧Previous value+4.0%
20:30 U.S.A4Monthly Core Consumer Price Index(CPI)Monthly rate‧forecast+0.2%‧Previous value+0.2%
20:30 U.S.A4Monthly Core Consumer Price Index(CPI)the annual rate‧forecast+2.4%‧Previous value+2.4%
20:30 U.S.A4Monthly substantial income‧forecast-0.2%‧Previous value+0.2%
22:30 American Energy Data Association(EIA)油品库存数据
预测:crude oilInventory increase18010000 barrels‧汽油库存不变‧Increase in distillate oil inventory8010000 barrels

5month13day
港金息率:平息
LondongoldMorning order price:877.00
London gold afternoon fixing price:865.00
London Silver Set Price:17.08
黄金伦敦收盘(23:15):868.00 / 869.00
黄金纽约收盘(02:15):866.55 / 867.95
NYMEX 6月期金:
开市价:879.00 - 收市价:870.20
最高价:880.40 - 最低价:861.00

The government report released on Tuesday shows that the United States4月扣除汽车的零售销售意外强劲,暗示尽管食品和能源价格飙升,消费者仍然愿意通过消费为经济提供助力。近期公布的其它数据亦暗示,济内在的韧性,包括4月就业人口降幅小于预期以及第一季生产率增长步伐意外强劲,鼓舞了人们对公司获利的期望,零售销售报告呼应了这些数据。商业部称4月零售销售下滑0.2%,但扣除汽车的销售上升0.5%,市场原预期整体销售下滑0.1%,但预计扣除汽车的销售为仅增长0.2%。费城联邦储备银行周二公布的分析师调查显示,第二季经济料仅成长0.2%,较前两季的增长0.6%放缓。白宫经济顾问委员会主席拉齐尔表示多数迹象显示经济朝着更好的方向,而不是更加萎靡的形势发展。在零售销售数据公布后,美元上升,公债下滑,股市则在盘初受到零售销售数据提振后,又受美国联邦储备理事会(FED)一些官员的讲话拖累下跌。其它数据却突显了消费者面临的窘境,食品和能源价格飙升以及房市崩塌令消费者受到左右夹击。劳工部称美国4月进口物价攀升1.8%,因汽油和非汽油类产品价格上涨,加重了通膨忧虑。进口物价较去年同期跳升15.4%,升幅为政府在逾25年前开始公布该数据以来最高。全美不动产协会(NAR)周二表示,今年第一季美国都市地区的独栋房屋价格中值较上年同期下降7.7%。联储主席贝南克在佐治亚Sea Island通过电话会议警告称,该国金融市场仍然紧张。
今日美国将公布4月消费物价指数,若通膨仍得到控制,可能会让人们再度预期美国联邦储备理事会(FED)拥有进一步降息的空间,以刺激饱受楼市放缓和信贷紧缩打击的经济成长。市场预估美国4Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Up from the previous month0.3%Deducting the core of food and energyCPI料按月上升0.2%。 IfCPI符合或低于预估,将会对构成打压。美国原油futures价格近期屡创新高,周二已接近每桶127美元,目前还不清楚油价的上涨会如何影响4monthCPI数据;能源成本在整体CPI数据中所占权重约为10%。但消费者为所有物品支付的价格几乎都在上涨,不仅在超市和加油站,美元的下跌让进口物品也更加昂贵。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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