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Vantage FX万致:英镑兑美元1month18Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

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  FXStreet:
Wednesday(1month18day)欧市早盘,备受瞩目的英国首相Theresa May周二的退欧演讲引发英镑暴涨突破1.24Gateway,May确认硬退欧,并表示退欧计划将由英国议会投票决定,利好英镑。此外美国侯任总统特朗普警告称强势美元将损害经济,也加剧了英镑的升势。美债收益率大幅反转确认了投资者的担忧,加剧特朗普政策的不确定忧虑。
GBP/美元若跌破1.23May be in1.2285-80附近寻得支撑。若英国就业数据不佳,则将拖累汇价跌向1.2200, falling below1.2200将证明周二的反弹仅为“死猫反弹“,降低短期进一步反弹几率。相反,如重返1.2400(50Daily moving average)上方则将帮助汇价重拾1.2500关口并测试38.2%Retreat position1.2535-40附近,短期阻力位于1.25and1.2480-85。
 Dahua Bank:
GBP/美元:中性,反弹势头继续延伸至1.2480
  报告指出,尽管我们强调英镑近期的弱势能否进一步持续尚不明确,但其上日飙涨明显出乎意料。目前来看,英镑的反弹并不完全,有可能进一步涨至下行趋势线阻力1.2480附近。整体来看,我们预计英镑在未来几日将继续受巩固,强劲支撑位于1.2240Near.
  Deltastock:
GBP/美元:触及1.1984低位后重启反弹,测试1.2130阻力区域后将进一步指向1.2230。日内初步支撑位于1.2080。
  日内阻力:1.2130、1.2230;本周阻力:1.2430、1.2509
  日内支撑:1.2080、1.1985;本周支撑:1.1900、1.1750
  FX168:
GBP/美元从技术角度来看,4小时图上显示,技术指标进入极端超买区域,上涨力度缓解。同一图表上,汇价远位于20SMAand200EMA上方,后者位于1.2320附近。今年高位位于1.2432,在这一水平上方延续涨势将支撑汇价测试1.2500Area.
Vantage FXAnalysis of Wanzhi's viewpoint:
  GBP/USD:英镑的底部震荡区间已经形成,昨日大涨400点之后,今日可能出现一定程度上的回调,但整体底部形态已经形成,短期内需要上看1.2500-1.2700位置,建议投资者近期可以考虑英镑低位多单。阻力位上方1.2500位置及下方1.2200Near.
Vantage FX万致:英镑兑美元1month18Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks975 / author:vfxlinda / PostsID:485231
Event discussion:

Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values
17:30britain12Monthly unemployment rate2.3%2.3%Waiting
UK to11Three months in a monthILOunemployment rate4.8%4.8%Waiting
17:30britain12月失业金申请人数变化(ten thousand people)+0.24+0.5Waiting
UK to11Three months in a monthILOChanges in the number of unemployed individuals(ten thousand people)-1.6-3.5Waiting
Focus:Vantage FX万致:英国都要“硬脱欧”了,英镑为什么还飙升?https://www.vantagefx.cn/market-analysis/17011801/
  
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vfxlinda  Registered Member  Published on 2017-1-18 17:23:11 | Show all floors
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