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【品汇国际】 多空争夺白热化 周五谨防技术陷阱

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product汇国际】 多空争夺白热化 周五谨防技术陷阱



品汇国际basic面分析:
纽约盘中,美元指数大幅下挫,欧元兑美元震荡走高。美元指数跌至三周低点,主要因为市场认为美联储会议记录立场温和,美联储升息预期被推后。美国上周初请失业金人数减少,但未能提振美元。美元指数跌至三周低点市场认为美联储会议记录立场温和,美债收益率下跌美国上周初请失业金人数减少,未能提振美元。
美国公布的初请失业金数据优于预期,未能提振美元,反映市场对美元的整体人气利空。美国劳工部公布,上周初请失业金人数减少至30万,接近七年低点,且低于市场预估的32万。数据影响被周三美联储发布的会议记录所盖过。会议记录显示,联储官员上月召开会议时对决策层新的利率预测反应过度。新的利率预测描绘出的加息周期似乎比实际预期更激进。
因美元走势疲弱,欧元兑美元升0.3%。但交易商对进一步推高欧元态度谨慎,因预计欧洲央行可能加强反对欧元走强及其对通缩影响的措辞。德国央行总裁魏德曼周四重申,如果低通胀持续时间过长,欧洲央行可能考虑采取非常规举措。欧洲央行行长德拉吉上周也暗示可能采取量化宽松来抵御通缩。
近来欧元区多为官员表态QE在考虑中,德国的通胀数据将会给投资者更多指引,如果通胀数据走低,那么欧洲央行QE的压力将会增大。最后,纽约盘中,美国方面PPI和密歇根大学消费信心指数投资者也要关注。美联储鸽派纪要逐渐被市场消化,后市美元走势重新回归经济数据上来。如果美国经济数据再次疲弱,那么美元指数将会继续承压

Pinhui International Technical Analysis:
美元指数:可以在79.65----79.25Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
euro/USD: can be used in1.3930----1.3850的区间内高抛低吸(先上涨到位卖出,先下跌到位买入),有效破位40个点止损。
pound/USD: can be used in1.6820----1.6720Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit50Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
dollar/Ruilang: You can find0.8830----0.8740Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
dollar/Japanese yen: can be used in102.45----101.15Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.9480--0.9370的区间内高抛低吸(先上涨到位卖出,先下跌到位买入),有效破位40个点止损。
dollar/CAD: Can be used in1.0970---1.0880Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
gold: Can be found in the1325.00—1311.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit8美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
白银:可以在20.40—19.80Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.2USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.

NFX  Markets品汇国际首席分析师夏天建议(以上建议仅供参考。)
更多建议请浏览www.nfxau.com
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