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London Gold (5month8 day)

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金价周二大幅攀升至883水准后出现回落,美元指数失守73关口,更重要是crude oil价格再创出新高,令金价于纽约早段持续走稳,后因美元有所反弹令金价出现回落。房利美季报亏损大于预期,引发市场对美国楼市忧虑,促成美元早段之振荡。StreetTracks基金周二增持4tongold
伦敦黄金方面,由于欧洲数据疲弱以及美国联储官员的强硬言论支撑美元上扬,令金价昨晚回跌至863水平。另一方面,原油价格在尾盘涨至纪录高位,部分抵消美元全线走强带来的压力。美国原油futures昨晚涨近2USD to123美元上方,继续刷新纪录,则提振黄金作为对冲通膨资产的吸引力。金价于纽约尾盘回升至870水平附近,令金价整体形势仍陷迷阵。
图表分析而言,分别以1month22Daily low849.50and2month5Daily low885.30引伸之两列趋向线目前处于882and861.50美元,而金价过去两日走势则正正此区间震荡;若果882水平未能冲破,则或可实现市场普遍提及之后抽现象,未能升破颈线位置而诱发新一轮较大幅度之下行走势,当然会以下陷860美元才能清确弱势之展开,预计下试支持可看至852and5month2Daily low845水平。另一方面,平均线亦见4Tianhe9天正为交叠之际,金价进一步上行又会引伸出利好交叉,上望以突破882美元才见得以重回升轨,向上将见目标可拓展至25Balance moving average900.50美元。预计较近阻力则会先见于872and876水平。因此,金价仍陷于争持当中,但预计亦见即将会见破局以分晓明确走向;若今晚而言,可留意欧洲议息会议会否令欧元再呈大型波动,从而令金价跟随破位!
London Gold 5month8day
Predicting early wave amplitude:858.00 - 870.00
Support bit:852.00 - 846.00
Resistance level:876.00 - 888.00

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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