Can the small non farm market play a joke on the gold and silver market with the remaining warmth of April Fool's Day?

【 Pinhui International 】 Can small non farm markets play a joke on the gold and silver market with the remaining warmth of April Fool's Day?







   Pinhui International Fundamentals Analysis:
Today's Meipan20:30To be announced in the United States3monthADPEmployment data,ADPThe US Employment Report is published byADPsponsor,MacroeconomicAdvisersThe company is responsible for developing and maintaining. This report is collected from approximately50Thousands of anonymous American companies reflect the employment situation in the United States. stay2008In the first six months of the year, samples were taken from approximately the private sector in the United States39.9Thousands of enterprises, covering nearly2400Ten thousand American employees. This data is a leading indicator of consumer spending, accounting for the majority of overall economic activity. The official non farm employment data released by the Ministry of Labor is two days ahead of schedule and is considered a leading indicator of non farm employment data. The market also generally regards today as a 'small non farm'. ForgoldThe impact is also significant. Yesterday, the market was tested multiple times1278-1288We need to lower the operating range in a bearish market due to the resistance and support of the market. During the day, if the upper side tries to explore1285You can operate on empty orders. Below, go to78-76The frontline can still operate multiple orders
ADPMarket expectations for data this time19.5Ten thousand people, compared to the one announced last month13.9Ten thousand people have a very strong room for improvement. Market expectationsADPThe increase indicates its optimistic attitude towards employment rate, and the fixed expected value constitutes a bearish outlook for spot gold. On Monday evening, Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen mentioned concerns about the outlook for the US economy in his speech, indicating the current state of economic weakness in the United States and even reiterating the importance of maintaining long-term monetary easing, once again showcasing the dove style to the fullest. As the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Yellen never speaks empty words. Therefore, Song Huzhi's analysis suggests that the "weakness of the US economy" is not unfounded. He made such remarks on the first day of this week's most critical non farm week, which inevitably made the market suspicious of the non farm data situation. However, the expected significant increase in employment in the market is mainly due to the theoretical economic recovery that the United States took for granted after the blizzard, and this is why the market is so optimistic about the employment rate this time. Yellen's speech undoubtedly gave the market a shot in the arm, and it is likely that the employment rate data this time is not as ideal as predicted by the market, and the reversal of bullish sentiment towards gold is also unknown.
Regardless of the announced value, under such strong bearish expectations, Zhidian Gold and Silver believes that gold prices are bound to continue to fluctuate around a weak trend, hitting once yesterday1277Always hovering around after being nearby1280upper. Current location1280Nearby also locatedH4There is still a downward trend in the direction of the down track position of the Bollinger Belt, and currently the main focus is on1278、1272It is recommended to temporarily focus on the support situation in the vicinity within the day1275-1288Operation within the interval. nightADPAfter the announcement, it is bound to have a strong guiding effect on Friday's non farm employment rate.

2014-04-02 14:00 britain3monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index in 0.6% 0.8%
2014-04-02 14:00 britain3monthNationwideAnnual rate of housing price index in 9.4% 9.7%
2014-04-02 17:00 Eurozone Q4GDPAnnual rate final value high 0.5% 0.5%
2014-04-02 17:00 Eurozone Q4GDPQuarterly rate final value high 0.3% 0.3%
2014-04-02 20:15 U.S.A3monthADPChanges in employment numbers in 13.9ten thousand 19ten thousand
2014-04-02 22:00 U.S.A2Monthly factory order rate in -0.70% 0.8%


Pinhui International Technical Analysis:
euro/dollar
euro/USD, currently traded at1.3800Nearby. Key support levels below the current price range:1.3705、1.3675、1.3650、1.3600； Resistance level above:1.3810、1.3845、1.3878、1.3945、1.3965、1.4000。 Suggestions for daily operations: Pay attention to the above1.3810The intensity of pressure, failure to sell short in the upper limit, success in the upper limit, and going long; Simultaneously follow below1.3705The support is strong, and if the bottom break fails, the backhand will go long. If the bottom break succeeds, the short selling will continue. Stop profit and stop loss can be flexibly set based on support pressure. Due to the scarcity of established data in early trading today, it is feasible to trade with orders and pay attention to stopping gains and losses.
pound/dollar
pound/USD, currently traded at1.6632Nearby. The support below the current price level is:1.6595、1.6570、1.6535、1.6470、1.6450、1.6425、1.6400； The pressure above is:1.6685、1.6700、1.6750、1.6800。 Suggestion for daily operation: Pay attention to the support position below1.6595The support strength of the upward trend line and the support strength of the upward trend line. If successful stabilization does not break, enter the market long and break the light position short term to chase short; Simultaneously pay attention to the pressure level above1.6685The pressure is strong, with a failure to sell short in the upper limit, and a success in the upper limit to catch up with short positions in the short term. Stop profit and stop loss can be flexibly set based on support pressure. At the same time, there is currently a symmetrical triangle formation, and breaking through trading is the best strategy.
AUD/dollar
AUD/USD, currently traded at0.9232Nearby. The current price support is:0.9215、0.9170、0.9155、0.9120、0.9100； The pressures above the current price range are:0.9295、0.9325、0.9350、0.9400。 Daily operation discussion: Follow up0.9295The pressure is strong, the upper break fails, the entry is short, the upper break is successful, and the light position is much shorter in the ultra short term; Simultaneously following0.9260The support is strong, successfully breaking down, short and light positions, successfully holding on but not breaking, entering the market and going long. Stop loss and stop gain can be flexibly set based on the support pressure level. Currently, the Australian dollar has a topMSigns of head formation, neckline position0.9215The lower break can be seen asMIf the head is established, it can be sold short. If it stabilizes and rebounds, continue to operate within the range0.9215~0.9295。
gold/dollar
gold/USD, currently traded at1283dollar/Around ounces. The current support below the price level is:1277dollar/Ounces1270dollar/Ounces1260dollar/Ounces1250dollar/ounce; The upper pressure is:1285dollar/Ounces1300dollar/Ounces1307dollar/Ounces1317.50dollar/Ounces1342dollar/Ounces1350dollar/Ounces1375dollar/Ounces1392.50dollar/ounce. Suggestions for daily operations: Follow1285dollar/ounce~1288dollar/The pressure intensity of ounces, failure to break up, short selling on high, success in breaking up, chasing long, and ultra short term light positions; Simultaneously following1277dollar/Ounces of support, successfully holding up without breaking, entering the market long, breaking the short short position of light positions. Gold still pays attention to the selling pressure of the pressure line, mainly selling against high without breaking, and being cautious the most when breaking up
NFX MarketsXia Xia, Chief Analyst of Pinhui International, suggested (the above suggestions are for reference only)