Vantage FX万致：英镑兑美元1month16Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

Deng Fute:
GBP/美元日线图今天早盘直接突破了10month7日以来的调整区间下沿，延续了中期的创新低局面。随着英镑中期支撑的突破，未来下跌空间进一步打开。从小时图走势来看，英镑/美元今天早盘跳空低开，延续了短线的创新低局面，英镑创出新低1.1990获支撑超跌反弹，预计英镑日内反弹到1.2120位置遇阻短线跌势持续。短线阻力1.2230。
Banda Asia:
　　上周五英镑震荡盘整，日线微幅收涨。除空头回补对英镑构成了一定的支撑外，美元指数在特朗普令人失望的记者会持续发酵打压下走软也对英镑构成了有力的支撑力量。不过英国硬脱欧的忧虑限制了英镑的反弹空间。亚市早盘，受英国首相特雷莎·梅即将于明日宣布脱欧方案，英国硬脱欧的忧虑升温打压，英镑跳空低开，现汇价交投于1.2040Nearby. Follow Today1.2150Nearby pressure situation, supported below1.1950Near.
Industrial Investment:
　　英镑上周五多空激烈较量，振幅1.2120-1.2230。不过，周日英国电讯报称，英国首相特蕾莎·梅拟于周二发表讲话，愿意放弃欧盟的商品和服务单一市场，以重新获得英国对边境和法律的控制权，从而暗示她计划实施"硬脱欧"。英镑本周开盘即大幅跳水，刷新10month6Rioolong refers to the lowest point since the incident. It is expected that the pound will continue to remain weak before Theresa May's speech.
　　日图维持空头格局不变，跌破近期整理低点有望继续走低。4The hourly chart opened low with no signs of stabilization, but remained weak after a large dive and may continue to decline. It is recommended to short during the day when there is a high or follow up when there is a low.
AustraliaGCG：
　　由于英国首相特蕾莎梅的强势脱欧政策以言论影响，今早英镑大幅跳空200点，汇价直接跌破前期低位，从盘面上来看，汇价已经突破了前期低位，技术面上有望开启更大下行空间，但是鉴于特蕾莎梅明日将会继续发表言论，因此最近强烈建议投资者观望英镑走势，在汇价企稳前不要轻易的入场。
Yituo Finance:
The weekly structure of the pound against the US dollar continues to adjust, with a rebound after a low opening at the beginning of the week. There is no sign of an end to the current downward trend, and it is still possible to continue exploring and testing the downward shadow support of the previous bottom. The first key support level in the short term is two-thirds of the downward shadow1.1900On the front line, therefore the operation can wait for the rebound resistance level to short to that target level. Specifically, in1.2100Short selling nearby1.2140Stop loss,1.1910Stop surplus.
　　TeleTrade：
GBP/美元上周五反弹回升，收复了前一日的部分跌幅，但整周仍然收低。汇价欧洲时段自日高1.2232受阻回落，并再度失守1.22关口，最低触及两个交易日低点至1.2120，虽然日内美指继续走软提振英镑/美元，但英国硬脱欧不确定性限制了汇价的涨幅。上周英国政府确认，英国首相计划在本周二(1month17day)announce"脱欧"方案，这将是自去年6月脱欧公投以来首次明确给出"脱欧路线图"的内容细节。受此影响，英镑/美元在本周一亚市开盘跳空逾1%to1.20附近，随后反弹约50点但未能回补跳空缺口。有机构表示，虽然当前英镑被低估，但仍值得做空。本周一美国市场休市，英国数据同样缺乏，英镑/美元料维持震荡偏弱走势。
　　技术上看，汇价上周五震荡反弹，但仍收于1.22关口之下，日图和4小时图上动能指标仍看空，均线系统呈空头排列，RSI指向低位。周一亚市汇价跳空低开约90点，尽管随后有所反弹但仍未能回补跳空缺口。短期或继续亚市盘初隔夜跌幅，之后将重新陷入下行。建议在修正反弹至保利加通道下轨1.2080破败后做空，止损设于1.2120Target Look1.2040and1.20。
Yahui China:
GBP/美元跳空低开，盘中低见1.1986，目前重返1.2000关口上方，因市场正等待英国首相特丽莎梅发表主题演讲，阐述有关脱欧的计划。
　　技术面上，英镑/美元只要停留在1.2085下方，就有希望跌至1.1775、1.1481，日内上行目标1.2200，该位置料提供阻力。长期来看，英镑/美元料下行至1.1938And then1.1855, i.e1985year5月低点。
Qiniu International:
　　1小时图上，英镑/美元今日开盘暴跌200Point, fall below1.2Pass, lowest touch1.1986，汇价目前已经回升至1.2关口上方。在"硬脱欧"日益逼近的情况下，英镑将进一步下跌，汇价早盘闪崩可能已引发空头获利了结，目前已经反弹50余点，但后市前景依然看跌，建议逢高做空。
　　5分钟图上，英镑/美元早盘闪崩200点，目前反弹至1.2050附近，汇价短线继续看跌，建议逢高做空。
Vantage FXAnalysis of Wanzhi's viewpoint:
GBP/USD：英镑向下跳空180点，随着即将来临的首相讲话，英国退欧公投后续的持续发酵将会越来越多的消息影响英镑的走势，目前认为接下来英镑需要密切关注1.2000能否完全破位，阻力位上方1.2200位置及下方1.2000Near.

Event discussion:

Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values

08:01britain1monthRightmove平均房屋要价指数(the annual rate)+3.4%+3.2%

britain1monthRightmove平均房屋要价指数(Monthly rate)-2.1%+0.4%

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