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5month6日重要数据公布:(5month6day)

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Japanese holidays
12:30 Bank of Australia Rate Resolution
13:45 Switzerland4Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Monthly rate‧forecast+0.9%‧Previous value+0.3%
13:45 Switzerland4Monthly consumer price index(CPI)the annual rate‧forecast+2.4%‧Previous value+2.6%
15:45 ItalyNTC 4Monthly Service Industry Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)‧forecast48.0‧Previous value48.8
15:50 FranceCDAF 4Monthly service industryPMI‧forecast54.0‧Previous value57.3
15:55 GermanyNTC 4Monthly service industryPMI‧forecast54.6‧Previous value51.8
16:00 eurozoneRBS 4Monthly service industryPMI‧forecast51.8‧Previous value51.6
16:00 eurozoneRBS 4Monthly comprehensivePMI‧forecast51.9‧Previous value51.8
16:30 britainCIPS 4Monthly service industryPMI‧Previous value52.1
17:00 eurozone3monthPPIMonthly rate‧forecast+0.7%‧Previous value+0.6%
17:00 eurozone3monthPPIthe annual rate‧forecast+5.6%‧Previous value+5.3%
20:30 Canada3月营建许可‧forecast+1.4%‧Previous value-1.0%
22:00 CanadaIvey 4Monthly Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)‧forecast54.5‧Previous value59.0

5month5day
港金息率:低息60Hong Kong dollars
伦敦休市
gold纽约收盘(02:15):871.15 / 872.55

NYMEX 6月期金:
开市价:867.00 - 收市价:874.20
最高价:874.70 - 最低价:866.00

美元周一下跌,因油价触及纪录新高,引发有关美国经济健康状况的争论。周一公布的数据显示美国服务业在4月出现扩张,为近四个月来首次,但美国联邦储备理事会(FED)的一项调查显示银行继续收紧贷款标准,盖过了这个利好因素。美国供应管理协会(ISM)周一公布4The monthly non manufacturing index is52.0,高于预估的49.1。数据显示4月服务业意外出现扩张后,美元曾短暂削减跌幅,部分缓解有关经济的忧虑,但这种正面的动能很快便消散。尽管数据显示美国经济在2008年第一季录得温和涨幅,但投资者仍不敢轻言美元的复苏之势将会持续,因美国crude oilfutures升至每桶120美元上方的纪录新高,且更多企业料受信贷危机的冲击。美元兑一篮子主要货币最低跌至73.114;日圆亦见回升至105下方,因有关美国经济前景的疑虑打击了投资者的风险意愿;欧元兑美元涨至1.55关口附近,摆脱了欧元区数据的消息影响,数据显示5月欧元区投资者信心意外减弱。投资者更为关注欧洲央行(ECB)本周之利率决定。

本周美国公布的数据可能突显欧美需求的疲软,将于周三公布的欧元区3月零售销售预计较前月增加0.2%,该数据2Monthly decline0.5%,而周四的美国4月连锁店销售在最好的情况下可能也仅仅是较前月持平。美国3月房屋待完成销售将于周三公布,预计减少1%Below2Monthly hour1.9%的降幅,周四将发布的是5month3日当周初请失业金人数,周五公布的则是3月美国国际贸易收支,预计为逆差617USD100mn

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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