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Gold and Silver News-Zeng Mozhe:12.23Guidelines for Evening Operation of Gold and Silver

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Gold and Silver News-Zeng Mozhe:12.23goldSilver Evening Operation Guide
  
Within the day(12month23Review of the gold and silver market in Japan:
  
Monday(12month23day)亚盘时段总体来说较为清淡,开盘于1204.5dollar/盎司附近,最高试探1206.1dollar/盎司,最低到达1120dollar/盎司附近,基本上为窄幅区间性盘整.欧盘开盘后不久行情出现一波急速下滑直接打破1200dollar/盎司关口,下方最低触及1192.6dollar/盎司,目前处于1195dollar/盎司附近徘徊,天通银方面相对黄金来说波幅比较窄小,早间开盘3826element/千克,截止笔者曾莫哲停笔,上方最高试探3836element/千克,最低触及3794element/千克,整体来说还是处于区间内震荡.目前处于3815element/千克附近徘徊,晚间做单曾莫哲建议以高位空单为主,多单为辅。
  
  市场消息面分析:
  
Gold and Silver News-According to Zeng Mozhe's statistical data, the world's main goldETF--SPDRGoldTrustby12month21日的黄金持仓量较上一交易日增持5.40ton,newspaper814.12ton,Total value approximately321.40USD100mn Global Major SilverETF--iSharesSilverTrustby12month23日的白银持仓量较上一交易日持平,newspaper10139.78ton,Total value approximately63.72USD100mn
  
  美盘时段,今晚美国将公布11Monthly CorePCE物价指数年率,前值上升仅1.1%; corePCE月率,前值微升至0.1%,本次市场预期仍为0.1%.从近半年以来的核心PCE物价指数年率走势看,此数据整体处于震荡运行。核心PCE物价指数年率做为美联储衡量通胀水平的重要指标,因此对于美联储是否加速缩减量化宽松政策具有重大的指引意义。但是由于目前数值仍远离联储设定的2%通胀水平,可能此数据未接近2%附近对市场的影响不会很大。
  
  与此同时,美国将公布11月个人收入月率,前值下滑0.1%, for9个月以来首次呈现负增长,本次市场预期大幅增加0.4%;11月个人支出月率,前值增加0.3%,本次市场预期增加0.4%。个人月收入代表消费者对商品、服务等未来需求的实际购买水平,因此若公布值大于市场预期值,预示着消费能力提升,其支出将增加,将拉动经济回升,美元将受此提振而走高;反之亦然。而消费支出增加,能直接刺激经济的稳步发展,对美元将得到支撑而走强;反之亦然。因此个人支出和个人消费将是今晚较为重要的经济数据,投资者值得关注。
  
  随后,美国还将公布12月份密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值,初值强劲回升至82.5,本次市场预期终值上修至83.5。此数据将是今晚最为重要的经济指标,消费者信心增强,间接表明美国的就业情况正逐步改善。若公布值超好于市场预期值,将令美元再度强劲上扬,而贵金属市场或遭遇重挫。由于临近圣诞节消费旺季,消费信心增强或理所当然。
  
Technical analysis of spot gold (London gold):
  
  日线图上,BOLL向下开口运行,周五收盘最终站上BOLLLower rail,短期内在下方1198附近形成小幅支撑,upper5Daily moving average at1215附近形成阻力,其次上方1230附近强阻力,重点关注前期1180重要支撑位,附图指标上,MACD死叉运行动能持续放量,KDJandRSIstay50水平位附近有向下发散的趋势,指标偏弱.
  
  4小时图方面依然有大跌之后布林带收口的迹象,表现出反弹的需求,MACD能量柱缩量,RSIHook up,5Cycle and10周期均线有粘合形成金叉的迹象,目前操作以回撤进多,不盲目追多。
  
Guidelines for Nighttime Operations of Spot Gold (London Gold):
  
  1See below1188-1190Long on the front line, stop loss1185下面,上看1195-1198frontline;
  
  2、下方可埋伏好1180Multiple orders nearby, stop loss1176Nearby, look up1188-1192frontline;
  
  3See above1198Short on the front line, stop loss1201.8附近,下看1190-1188frontline;
  
  4、上方继续埋伏好1205-1208一线的空单,止损1212.8,目标依然看1190Nearby;
  
  5The above suggestions are for reference only. For specific orders for gold, please contact Gold and Silver Express-Zeng Mozhe himself:1799447835Spot Gold Order Experience Skirt:59888837Group entry verification code: Jinyin Express.
  
Technical analysis of spot silver (Tiantong Silver):
  
  日线图上,BOLL缩口后向下打开运行,上方各周期均线粘合于BOLL中轨在3880and3920附近形成强阻力,下方持续关注3780支撑破位下看下方3750and3730附近支撑位,附图指标上,MACD金叉动能放量逐步减弱,KDJandRSIstay50水平位附近有向下发散的趋势,指标偏弱。
  
In the4小时图方面有反弹的需求,MACD有形成金叉的迹象,RSIHook up,有行程圆弧底的形态,一小时布林带开口,有进一步多头放量的迹象,曾莫哲建议本周白银操作触及上方承压点位依然进空,触及前期低点再跟进多单操作。
  
Guidelines for evening operation of spot silver (Tiantong Silver):
  
  1See below3750-3780Frontline multiple entry, stop loss35A dot, look up3850Nearby;
  
  2See above3880Nearby empty orders enter, stop loss45A point, take a look3830-3800frontline;
  
  3The above suggestions are for reference only. For specific silver orders, please contact Gold and Silver Express-Zeng Mozhe himself:1799447835Spot Silver Order Experience Skirt:59888837Group entry verification code: Jinyin Express.
  
Evening Follow:
  
  21:30U.S.A11Monthly personal income(Monthly rate)Previous value-0.1%Estimate+0.4%★★★★
  
  21:30U.S.A11Monthly personal consumption expenditure(Monthly rate)Previous value+0.3%★★★★
  
  21:30U.S.A11Monthly personal consumption expenditure price index(the annual rate)Previous value+0.7%★★★★
  
  21:30U.S.A11Monthly personal consumption expenditure price index(Monthly rate)前值持平★★★
  
  21:30U.S.A11月核心个人消费支出物价指数(the annual rate)Previous value+1.1%★★★★
  
  21:30U.S.A11月核心个人消费支出物价指数(Monthly rate)Previous value+0.1%Estimate+0.1%★★★★
  
  21:30U.S.A11月实际个人消费支出(Monthly rate)Previous value+0.3%★★★★
  
  21:30U.S.A11月芝加哥联储全国活动指数前值-0.18★★
  
  22:55U.S.A12月密歇根大学现况指数终值前值97.9Estimate97.5★★
  
  22:55U.S.A12月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值前值82.5Estimate83.4★★
  
  22:55U.S.A12月密歇根大学预期指数终值前值72.7Estimate73.0★★
  
  
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