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上周五的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈现回落震荡整理走势,美元指数最高到72.11, minimum71.70,最后收盘于71.89;基本面显示,上周五美国公布的密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值降低至63.2,远远低于市场预期的69.0,该数据为82年以来的最低水平,由此可以表明美国消费者仍然看淡美国的经济前景,以及美国3月份进口物价意外上涨(即美国3月份进口物价指数上升2.8%,2Monthly rise0.2%)而加大了美联储将继续降息来支持持经济的压力;以上疲软的经济数据促使美国股市全线重挫,美元/Japanese yen and US dollar/瑞郎逐步走软,而高息货币澳元和纽元也受到此影响而受压下行;之后七大工业国财长和央行行长会议在华盛顿召开,而各国官员尽管不欢迎汇率过大波动,但G7对汇率采取行动的可能性较小,给予了市场对与G7干预外汇市场的担忧;目前从技术上看,美元指数站稳在10 20均线上方,但MACD依然处于0轴下方运行,目前上方阻力位于72.40--71.70The lower support is located at71.70--71.40frontline.
euro/美元:目前短线阻力位于1.5800--1.5850The lower support is located at1.5700--1.5650
操作上建议观望或考虑在1.5650附近短线买入,获利目标指向1.5850Stop loss1.5600
pound/美元:目前短线阻力位于1.9800--1.9850The lower support is located at1.9650--1.9600,
操作上建议逢高卖出,目标指向1.9600
AUD/美元:目前短线阻力位于0.9260--0.9300The lower support is located at0.9200--0.9160
操作上建议考虑在0.9300附近短线卖出,目标指向0.9160,止损控制在50spot
dollar/加元:目前短线阻力位于1.0300--1.0350The lower support is located at1.0200--1.0160,
操作上建议以区间操作策略为主