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Last week, the number of non farm data employment continued to decrease, and gold and silver borrowed momentum to rise. This week, there will be a series of important economic data, including Federal Reserve interest rates. The focus of the market continues to be on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy,QEWhen will the scale of the company begin to shrink.9Prior to the month, it was unanimously believed that the Federal Reserve would9Reduction at the monthly interest rate meetingQEScale, but the result is that the market believes that the scale remains unchanged.Strong Gold Industry
after10The impact of the US government shutdown in early this month is expected to lead to a contraction of the Federal Reserve2013Annual reductionQEThe plan seems out of reach, so what signals will this week's interest rates give to the market?
Maintaining this meeting unchanged is a matter of certainty, and some investment banks even expect the Federal Reserve to expand in the futureQEThe scale of this view is held by the head of interest rate strategy at Bank of France in the United States, and more radical is Dr. "Doomsday" McCarthy, who believes that "the problem is not to reduce bond purchases, but to start increasing bond purchases at what point, such as every month1500USD100mn2000100 million US dollars or1Trillion dollars
From the current economic situation, increasing bond purchases is not impossible. If there are indications on the Federal Reserve's interest rate this time that if economic data is weak and more reasonable ways to stimulate the economy are not excluded, then the market will continue to expand the scale of bond purchases in the future. However, even if this market is hyped up, it may not last too long.
In last week's trend, the US dollar showed a one-sided weakness. In this week's market, it is important to note that the market may speculate on a positive trend, meaning that the US dollar will rebound first, and then give a new direction to the US dollar based on the Federal Reserve's interest rates. Speculation and selling of facts are likely to occur during sensitive time periods.
The rise in interest rates for the euro is a bit of a concern for eurozone countries, as the euro can rise1.4Afterwards, there may be bold actions in the market, although I mentioned in my analysis last week that the euro has a direction1.4The trend of moving forward, but will there be a high-risk period in the future? Next week, the European Central Bank's interest rates and non farm sectors will continue to guide the market. If the European Central Bank suppresses the exchange rate, it will choose next week, and this week it will maintain a large range of volatility.
And for thegoldIn terms of the trend, it surged to1355.82The upward trend line of the sky chart continues to form a suppression,1306-1336It is the neckline area serving as the center line, and the most likely trend this week is to adjust first, then break through after stepping back on the neckline area1352Continuing the upward trend, you can choose to1328-1336Establish multiple orders between layouts, if rapidly falling to1306Can take a bottom and go long, break through1300Stop loss exit, midline target position1394-1400Breakthrough on Thursday morning1352We need to pursue more.
The trend of silver on Friday is weaker than that of gold. In other words, if silver does not follow the rise of gold, then the rise of gold on Friday may not be true. Only when silver can rise can it belong to the continuation of the upward trend1The short-term moving average of the hourly chart is suppressed and needs to be adjusted,22.70Strong pressure level,22.42Falling below will lead to22Pass operation, able to step back22.00Support level is more favorable for future gains, short-term operation22.60Can be short, stop loss at22.70, look at the goal22.40-22.20Breakthrough in late trading22.70We need to pursue more.
GBP USD: Weekly chart with shooting star, high point1.6258Unable to break through1.63At the checkpoint, the monthly chart will be closed again this week, basically last month's chartKThe formation of a high line cross star means that the crazy market trend at the top of the pound is about to end. You can choose to short the mid line short order layout every high, and this week you can choose to1.6245Hanging an empty order, breaking through16380Stop loss,1.6170Chasing the air below,1.6100Break through the overweight position, let's take a look first1.5960, and1.5960-1.5900It will be the neck line of the midline again, and there will be an accelerating market trend if it falls below.
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