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黄金高位不宜追多

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上周行情:Strong Gold Industry
上一个交易日开盘1346.1USD, highest1354.9美元,最低下探1335.9USD, closing1351美元。收下影线长的阳线。
Fundamentals:
近期升势始于上周二公布的9月非农数据表现疲软。9月份的非农就业数据报告显示,9月份全美非农就业人数增加14.8万,大大低于预期的18.0万,也低于8月份的增幅16.2万。非农数据大幅不及预期令市场对美联储延后削减宽松规模的预期得到进一步增强。
美联储将在本周二至周三召开新一轮的联邦公开市场委员会会议,目前多数机构的预判是美联储将维持利率及各项货币政策不变。而美联储届时会对当前的经济状况作出如何的评估,对经济的看法可能会左右日后进一步的政策取向。
Technical analysis:
日线图看,布林带向上开口,金价运行于布林上轨附近,MA5、MA10、MA20向上勾头,MACD金叉放量有减缓的迹象,以回调低位做多为主。
4Looking at the hourly chart,MACD在多次上攻当中反复顶背离,目前金价短线承压布林上轨,MACD金叉转死叉,K线上线看短期内出现回调可能性极大,加上周一市场无重要数据公布,加大回调的需求。
since1251反弹以来,周线及月线级别多头依然强劲,而短线回调修复的需求逐渐增加。
Operation suggestions:
1. Within the day1353Short selling, stop loss1357On, target1346。
2. First touch1346There are many light positions nearby, stop loss1344以下,看反弹1355Near.
3. Upper rupture1360看至1368附近。初见1370附近轻仓空。
4. Lower rupture1338可跟进空单,止损1342, Objective1335-1330。


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