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4month9日重要数据公布:

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11:00 Bank of Japan interest rate resolution
14:00 Bank of Japan4月经济月报
14:00 Germany2Monthly export rate•Previous value+3.8%
14:00 Germany2Monthly import rate•Previous value+4.2%
14:00 Germany2Monthly trade balance•Forecast surplus158Billion•Front value surplus161Billion
16:30 britain2Monthly industrial production rate•forecast+0.1%•Previous value-0.1%
16:30 britain2Monthly industrial production annual rate•forecast+1.2%•Previous value+0.4%
16:30 britain2Monthly manufacturing production rate•forecast+0.1%•Previous value+0.4%
16:30 britain2Monthly manufacturing production annual rate•forecast+1.5%•Previous value+0.6%
17:00 Eurozone Q4 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)Seasonal rate correction•forecast+0.4%•Previous value+0.7%
17:00 Eurozone Q4 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)Annual rate correction•forecast+2.2%•Previous value+2.6%
22:00 U.S.A2Monthly wholesale inventory•forecast+0.5%•Previous value+1.0%
22:30 美国能源数据协会(EIA)油品库存数据
预测:crude oilInventory increase22010000 barrels•Reduced gasoline inventory26010000 barrels•Reduced inventory of distillate oil14010000 barrels

有报导指花旗集团即将达成协议,向多家私人直接投资公司组成的财团出售杠杆贷款和债券。熟悉内情的人士表示,花旗集团接近达成出售约120亿美元上述资产 的协议。消息令美元于周二普遍持稳。周二尾盘美国联邦储备理事会(FED)会议纪录显示,央行官员不排除经济下滑的情况延长且恶化;会议纪录支持了市场对 toFEDWill be on4month29-30日会议中降息至少25基点的看法。美国联邦储备理事会(FED)料将于本月降息至少25个基点,日本利率继续持于0.5%的低 位;而周二发布的英国房屋价格数据意外疲弱,加强了对英国央行将在周四降息的预期。欧洲央行预计将按兵不动,且很可能继续发表强硬言论。主要货币不太可能 突破近期区间,因市场人士正审慎等待周五的七大工业国(G7)财长和央行官员会议。对于G7可能表达不乐见欧元强势的顾忌心理,造成难以在周末会议之前敲 进欧元,基于利率短期内不会调降,市场人士也不太想卖欧元。尽管金融市场出现恢复稳定迹象,但上周美国就业数据加深美国经济衰退疑虑,令美元升势受限。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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