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4month1日重要数据公布:

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14:00 Germany2Monthly actual retail sales rate•forecast+0.5%•Previous value+0.7%
14:00 Germany2Monthly actual retail sales annual rate•forecast+0.7%•Previous value+0.3%
15:30 Switzerland3Monthly Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)•forecast60.0•Previous value60.5
15:55 Germany3Monthly Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)•forecast54.9•Previous value54.3
16:00 Germany3Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate during menstruation•forecast7.9%•Previous value8.0%
16:00 Germany3月失业人口变动•Predicted decrease4.0ten thousand•Previous value decrease7.5ten thousand
16:00 eurozoneRBS 3Monthly Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)•forecast52.0•Previous value52.3
16:30 britainCIPS 3Monthly manufacturing industryPMI•forecast51.0•Previous value51.3
17:00 eurozone2Monthly unemployment rate•forecast7.1%•Previous value7.1%
20:30 Canada2Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)Monthly rate•forecast+0.7%•Previous value+0.9%
20:30 Canada2Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)the annual rate•Previous value-0.1%
22:00 American Supply Management Association(ISM)3Monthly Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)•forecast47.5•Previous value48.3
22:00 U.S.A2月营建支出•forecast-1.0%•Previous value-1.7%

3month31day
港金息率:高息80Hong Kong dollars
LondongoldMorning order price:937.25
London gold afternoon fixing price:933.50
London Silver Set Price:17.99
黄金伦敦收盘价(23:15):932.00 / 932.80
黄金纽约收盘价(02:15):916.20 / 917.00
NYMEX 4月期金:
开市价:940.50 - 收市价:921.20
最高价:945.00 - 最低价:921.00

美元兑欧元首季则创下四年来最大单季跌幅,在一连串经济数据即将公布,及美国联邦储备理事会(FED)主席本周发表证词演说前,市场弥漫审慎气氛。日圆兑 美元仅小幅下滑,日本央行公布短观季报显示,过去三个月日本企业信心恶化的程度超出预期。周一公布数据显示,随著美国经济持续放缓且通膨继续冲击企业,美 国仍然陷于衰退性状况。全美采购经理人协会(NAPM)公布数据显示,纽约的企业活动在3月减缓,因信贷危机持续令该全国金融中心掣肘。另有报告亦显示, 密尔沃基的企业活动在3月萎缩,以及得克萨斯州的制造业活动降温。报告显示3月美国工业密集的中西部地区企业活动亦连续第二个月萎缩,而其价格分项则上 升,突显了衰退和通膨忧虑。全美采购经理人协会-Chicago(NAPM-Chicago)3Monthly Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)from2Of44.5Ascend to48.2,但仍低 于扩张和萎缩的分水岭50。不过,芝加哥PMI还是高于预估值46.0。芝加哥报告中的3月就业分项从2Of33.5大幅上升至44.6,这对看好经济的 人来说是个好消息,这是自2002year2月以来就业分项最大单月升幅;3月新订单分项亦从2Of48.8Jump up to53.9。不过,通膨方面的数据则颢示,.3 月支出物价分项从2Of79.4Climb to83.9, for2006year6月以来的最高点。全美采购经理人协会(NAPM)公布的纽约3月本地企业活动指数从2Of 427.7lower425.8, for2007year11月以来最低点。报告亦显示,企业对高昂的能源成本感到担忧。密尔沃基地区的企业活动在3月亦萎缩,因新订单分 项下滑而投入物价跳涨。NAPM-密尔沃基3月经季节调整企业活动指数从53Descend to47,低于扩张和萎缩的分水岭50。达拉斯联邦储备银行发布的3月得克 萨斯整体企业活动制造业指数从2The negative of the month21.4Reduce to negative22.7,为连续第九个月处于负值区域,暗示著行业萎缩。美国经济谘商会周一公布美国3月报纸刊登的 求才广告数量较去年同期下滑0.6%,为该指数创立以来首次低于上年同期的水准。经济谘商会称,网路求才广告数量从2Of393Wan dropped to373Ten thousand;3月的数 据显示的是2Mid month to3月中旬求才广告的总数.last year3月该数据约为375Ten thousand.

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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