euro : (3month31day)

European Central Bank(ECB)表示，正密切关注货币市场的紧张局面，准备好在必要时注入额外的流动性。英国央行和瑞士央行也承诺提供额外资金，以缓和同业拆息的压力。ECB周四表示，正密切关注货币市场的紧张局面，准备好在必要时注入额外的流动性。欧洲央行继续密切关注流动性状况，并注意到短期利率在季末临近之际面临压力，尽管流动性其实很充沛。央行表示如果有必要，央行准备好随时注入额外的流动性。而周五欧洲央行(ECB)管理委员会委员韦伯的强硬讲话和德国消费者物价指数(CPI)意外加速上升，打击了有关ECB近期会降息的预期，从而令欧元继续获得支撑。虽然欧元遭遇小幅获利了结，但投资者还是不愿意大举抛售欧元，至少在本周美国联邦储备理事会(FED)主席贝南克对国会讲话和美国3月非农就业报告公布前仍是如此。

欧元前周初升至1.5901新高后回落至上周初最低的1.5340，及后由低位1.5340升至上周三最高的1.5857，现阶段欧元的回吐似在上周初完成，而现在欧元则有机会升穿1.5901水平至1.60以上，并再创出新高。此外，欧元亦有机会再下试至1.55水平再营造多一次底部后，往1.60以上进发。波浪理论分析欧元有机会运行大型第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)Stretching within the waves(v)伸延中浪内的第v伸延小浪，或第iv伸延小浪内的(b)浪。欧元由2000year10月开始运行长期的大型上升浪，由2000year10月的低位0.8220to2001year1月的高位0.9593为大型上升浪的第(I)Waves,0.9593to2001year7Monthly low0.8363为第(II)Waves,0.8363to2004year12月的高位1.3666为第(III)浪顶。1.3666to05year11month15Daily low1.1640For the large section(IV)Waves,1.1640to06year1month25Daily high1.2323为第(V)Within the waves1Waves,1.2323to06year2month27The low point of the day1.1825为第(V)Within the waves2Waves,1.1825to06year6month5Daily high1.2976For the large section(V)Within the waves3Waves,1.2976to06year10month13Daily low1.2483为第4Waves,1.2483开始为大型第(V)Within the waves5浪，并以伸延浪运行。由1.2483to06year12month4Daily high1.3367为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(1)Stretching waves,1.3367to07year6month12Daily low1.3262为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(2)Stretching waves,1.3262to07year7month24Daily high1.3851为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)Stretching within the waves(i)伸延中浪，1.3851to07year8month16Daily low1.3359为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)Stretching within the waves(ii)伸延中浪，1.3359to07year11month23Daily high1.4966为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)Stretching within the waves(iii)伸延中浪，1.4966to08year1month22Daily low1.4364为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)Stretching within the waves(iv)伸延中浪，而1.4364to2month1Daily high1.4941为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)Stretching within the waves(v)伸延中浪内的第i伸延小浪。而1.4941to2month7Daily low1.4438为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)Stretching within the waves(v)伸延中浪内的第ii伸延小浪，而1.4438to3month17Daily high1.5901为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)Stretching within the waves(v)伸延中浪内的第iii伸延小浪，而1.5901to3month24Daily low1.5340为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)Stretching within the waves(v)伸延中浪内的第ivStretching small waves,1.5340至现在有机会为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)Stretching within the waves(v)伸延中浪内的第vStretching small waves. It is expected that thisv伸延小浪有机会升穿1.59to1.60以上水平。

欧元自年初以来已累涨8%以上，仍有望录得2004年末以来最好季度表现，目前情况要进一步升向1.60的可能性依然很很大。从图表指标所见，5天回破10天平均线，随耭指数之稳步上扬，都似乎为欧元铺排短期较持稳向上之前景。只是目前欧元价位目前接近纪录高位1.5904，以及市场心理关口1.60，因此于此区或见阻力重重，伸展上向之趋向线则见进一步阻力预估为1.6035水平。下方较近支持为1.57At the critical juncture, further support can be seen in the10Balance moving average1.5630and1.55Horizontal.

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )