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澳元走势方面,自前周再一次无法突破0.95关口后,随著市场避险情绪愈演剧烈,澳元持续下滑,上周最低见至0.8952。波浪理论分析,澳元有机会仍运 行大型第VWithin the waves(5)浪。澳元在06year3month28Daily low0.7014Start running the large sectionV浪,由0.7014to5month9Daily high0.7791For the large sectionVWithin the waves (1)Waves,0.7791to6month28Daily low0.7269为第VWithin the waves(2)Waves, and0.7269to9month5Daily high0.7719为第(3)Within the waves1Stretching waves, 0.7719to10month6Daily low0.7413为第VWithin the waves(3)Within the waves2Stretching waves,0.7413to07year1month3Daily high0.7979SectionVWithin the waves(3)浪内 No3Stretching within the waves(i)伸延中浪,0.7979to3month6Daily low0.7680为第(ii)伸延中浪,0.7680to4month19Daily high0.8391为第V浪内 No(3)Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(iii)伸延中浪,而0.8391to5month29Daily low0.8161为第VWithin the waves(3)Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(iv) 伸延中浪,0.8161to7month25Daily high0.8870为第VWithin the waves(3)Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(v)伸延中浪,代表整个第3浪在此完结。而 0.8870to8month17Daily low0.7673为第VWithin the waves(3)Within the waves4Stretching waves,0.7673to11month7日最高位0.9399为第VWithin the waves(3)浪内 No5伸延浪,代表整个第(3)浪在此完结。而0.9399Until this year1month22Daily low0.8511为第VWithin the waves(4)Waves, and0.8511至现在为大型第Vwave 内的第(5)浪。预料此第(5)浪将有机会上升至0.97-1.00水平之间完结。当运行完第(5)浪后,亦代表澳元的大型上升浪的最后一个浪在此完结。

从图表上所见,双顶之型态亦出现澳元的图表上,两个顶部都同时止步于0.95关口,而颈线位置则在0.9150/60附近,上周失守后见明显回吐持续;留 meaning10Tianhe25天平均线亦已释出利淡交叉之讯号,预计澳元有机会下试上周已曾触碰之100Balance moving average0.8950水平,进而失守,则应见大幅扩大跌势,进而 探见61.8%之回吐水平0.8885。若计算双顶型态之幅度延伸,则会看至0.8800水平;此外,250天平均线亦可视为关键支撑于0.8685。预 估较近阻力则为0.9150之颈线位置,较大阻力则为10Balance moving average0.922and25Balance moving average0.9260Horizontal.

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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