New Zealand dollars

纽元兑美元方面，上周在商品大幅回吐以及市场远离高息货币之双重打压下，大挫近350点至最低0.7860水平。预估纽元仍易于受到任何有关信贷市场的负 面消息冲击。波浪理论分析，纽元有机会仍运行大型第(V)Within the waves(5)伸延浪。纽元在07year8month17Daily low0.6639Start running the large section(V)Waves. from 0.6639to8month27Daily high0.7272For the large section(V)Within the waves(1)Stretching waves,0.7272to9month10Daily low0.6823For the large section(V)Within the waves(2) Stretching waves,0.6823to10month15Daily high0.7785为第(3)Stretching waves,0.7785to10month22Daily low0.7364为第(4)Stretching within the waves(a)Waves, 0.7364to11month7Daily high0.7891为第(4)Stretching within the waves(b)Waves,0.7891to11month12Daily low0.7434为第(4)Stretching within the waves(c)Waves, and 0.7434to12month12Daily high0.7936为第(4)Stretching within the waves(x)Waves,0.7396to12month18Daily low0.7505为另一组的(a)Waves, 0.7505Until this year1month15Daily high0.7931为另一组的(b)Waves,0.7931to1month22Daily low0.7383为另一组的(c)浪，亦代表第(4)伸延浪 在此完结。由0.7383至现在仍运行大型第(V)Within the waves(5)伸延浪，由于此第(5)伸延浪已升穿07year7month24日的最高位0.8107to08year2month 27日的最高位0.8213，预计此第(5)伸延浪仍有机会上升至第(5)伸延浪运行完毕。当第(5)伸延浪顶出现后,亦代表大型第(V)浪运行完毕，随 后而来，纽元将运行大型调整浪。

图表所见，下方要关注支撑仍然为上周低位0.7860水平；此区同时亦为双顶之颈线型态，失守跌幅将更为大大扩展，先可以100Balance moving average0.7785As 首个参考；以双顶计算下跌幅度将会见至0.75关口。此外，0.77水平则为gold比率61.8%之回吐水平。上方阻力先见5Balance moving average0.7980as well as10 Balance moving average0.8020水平，下一关键则为0.8200/20。鉴于日圆升势或会阻挠纽元升幅，故预计纽元短期仍见下试空间。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )