Yituo Finance-Yellen's mild remarks, the US dollar fluctuates and adjusts

Affected by Trump's press conference speech not mentioning fiscal stimulus policies and being lower than market expectations,USD IndexContinue to fall and organize, approaching100After the support level, it quickly rebounded, and the overall trend remained mainly focused on adjustment. This morning, Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen delivered a relatively mild speech at the event, which had little impact on the market.　　
Today's focus is on inflation in the United StatesPPIData, due to recent developmentsPPIThere are signs of acceleration in the upward trend, which will eventually move towardsCPIConduction, therefore, should be given special attention. at presentPPIPre annual rate value1.3%, expected1.6%This reflects strong market expectations for an increase in inflation in the near future. Simultaneously announced12The monthly retail sales rate is also quite important, which affects the market's expectations of the pace of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve this year, thereby affectingUSD IndexTrend.

In terms of specific technical aspects,USD IndexThe daily structure fell below yesterday100After the nearby support, it began to rebound and collected a longer lower shadow linekThe probability of rebounding today is higher, but the overall adjustment is not sufficient. Subsequent rebound tests will be conducted102.5There is still a possibility of falling back and adjusting after the nearby resistance.

The daily structure of the euro against the US dollar rose and fell yesterday, indicating significant resistance above. However, the current rebound time cycle is not sufficient, and there is still momentum for a rebound in the short term. Therefore, the recent market volatility has been high, making it difficult to operate. Therefore, it is more appropriate to choose a light position for short-term operations. Specific options can be found in10Daily moving average1.0540Going long nearby,1.0500Stop loss,1.0750Stop surplus.

The daily structure of the pound against the US dollar rose yesterday and quickly fell, failing to effectively break through the short-term moving average. In addition, there is significant resistance in the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and the overall pattern is bearish, continuing to The probability of adjustment is high, but the previous5The wave structure is also relatively clear, making it difficult to operate and optional5Daily moving average1.2170Short selling in nearby light positions,1.2200Stop loss,1.1920Stop surplus.

The daily structure of the USD/JPY continued to decline yesterday, and the overall adjustment pattern is clear. There is a high probability of further decline, and a rebound can be chosen5Daily moving average115.2Short selling nearby,115.7Stop loss.

The daily structure of the Australian dollar against the US dollar has risen to the resistance level of the Bollinger Bands, which is also the high point of the previous volatile platform. The resistance is high, and there is a high possibility of a pullback and consolidation. Therefore, it is possible to0.7520Short selling operations in nearby light positions,0.7560Stop loss, below0.7360Support position leaves the field.

Yituo Finance Analyst: Chen Yunbo