Wan'er Gold and Silver:1month13 OPECThere are many internal and external problems in reducing production, and it is difficult to decipher the asphalt deadlock

Wan'er Gold and Silver:1month13 OPECThere are many internal and external problems in reducing production, and it is difficult to decipher the asphalt deadlock

　　基本面上来看，由于美国页岩油产量带来了极大的不确定性。OPECPreviously in2014From summer to2016year11During the month, it was temporarily paralyzed. The production cycle of shale oil in the United States is shorter than that of other forms of oil. The high debt financing in the United States and the low interest rate of the Federal Reserve promote the prosperity of the U.S. stock market, which further promotes the boom in the exploration and production of shale oil in the United States. And this isOPECSaudi Arabia, the 'leading brother', has raised a challenge as it is uncertain whether US shale oil companies will quickly intervene in the oil market to fill the undersaturated market. It is obvious that American shale oil companies will seize market share from Saudi Arabia in order to make more profits, which Saudi Arabia cannot tolerate. And Saudi Arabia is no longer the same as before, as it has issued sovereign debt to the capital market and Saudi Aramco is also about to issue itIPOThis means that regardless ofOPEC是否作弊，美国页岩油是否繁荣，沙特都将转变石油依赖型经济增长方式。以应对新的国际局势，以及经济需求增长模式。当然错单就是错单，再怎么坚持扛单，都很难说能够获利出局。不要把套单当中线持仓，所谓的长线是方向正确的时候等待利润扩大，而不是方向做反眼睁睁的看着亏损扩大，关于解套方案请关注笔者薇信js6486The author will provide specific solutions based on Monday's real-time market situation.

　　技术面上，沥青走势处于整荡整理，盘中受到OPECThe production reduction is being implemented to stimulate the news, causing fluctuations up and down. But for bulls, the upward pressure is still Alexander. So we suggest that weOPECReduce production without substantial supervision, and maintain a cautious attitude until the amount of production reduction is determined.

The specific recommendations for actual trading operations are as follows:

　　4972Short selling,5002Point stop loss,4930Point stop surplus.

　　4963Short selling,4993Point stop loss,4875Point stop surplus.

　　crude oilOnline guidance and analysis call for natural gas.Single contact Weixinjs6486。