AUD : Key resistance0.95 - (3month14day)

View All · Published on 2008-3-14 14:11:13

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Focus:
．日圆升势阻挠澳元
．阻力参考0.9500**．0.9600．0.9750．0.9880*
．支撑参考0.9335．0.9220．0.9115．0.9000*

澳洲统计局周四公布2月经季节调整的就业人数增加3.67万，增幅为预估1.5万人的逾两倍；失业率则为1974year8For the first time since the beginning of the month, it has dropped to4.0%Below1Monthly4.1%，亦低于预估的4.2%。

澳元兑全面疲弱的美元周四亦明显走涨，最高见至0.9471，仅小幅低于2月尾高位0.9498，但亦见得0.95关口之心理阻力仍具有一定实质意义。澳元近期或许试图进一步上探，但投资者的风险偏好依然疲弱，这将限制澳元的上行空间。估计在0.95关口突破后，下个阻力参考将位于0.96and0.9750水平；下方较近支持则会先参考5day10Balance moving average0.9335and0.9320，关键位置仍在于25Balance moving average0.9220Horizontal. In addition, since1month22Daily low0.8511起始之升幅计算，38.2%调整见至0.9115，50%调整会下试至0.90Gateway.

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )