张祥说金：1.13日间现货沥青、现货白银投资走势分析

  Message analysis:

  

  美国周四公布了初请和进出口物价指数，多位美联储官员也发表了讲话，不过市场依然沉浸在对特朗普政策真空的失望情绪之中，几乎未对经济数据和官员讲话做出反应。因投资者担忧特朗普上任后不会兑现承诺，美元回调的势头日趋显著，美元指数周四失守101Pass and break through the key point50日移动均线，前景堪忧。有投行指出，美元反转是当前市场最大的风险，一旦美元大幅走软，近期建立的宏观策略将面临崩盘风险。美元走弱为油价反弹了助力。

  

  能源分析机构EnergyAspectsThe report states that,2017年全球石油需求增长料为14010000 barrels/Day,2016Year is15010000 barrels/日，亚洲将持续带领全球石油需求增长，但OECD冬季需求料更好。预计油价走高，美国石油生产有望增加。

  

  Saudi Minister of Energy Fateh(Khalidal-Falih)Thursday(1month12day)表示，沙特crude oilThe production has already fallen below100010000 barrels/At the Japanese border, it reached its lowest level in nearly two years, which is higher than beforeOPECAnd nonOPECThe production reduction agreement reached by oil producing countries stipulates. Although the current level is not significantly lower than100010000 barrels/Day, but already planned on2月份进一步扩大减产幅度。此外，科威特石油部长EssamAl-Marzouq周四称，科威特已经将北美和欧洲客户的原油出口量削减超过13.310000 barrels/日，但会保证亚洲客户的全额，该国当前减产幅度已超过全球产油国减产协议中承诺的水平。

  

  沙特已经完全执行减产计划，并喊话油市需求增速乐观，伊拉克油长亦表示下周将会增加减产力度亦到达完全执行减产，这令市场此前对产油国减产力度的质疑明显减弱，支撑油价上涨。

  

  沥青技术面分析：

  

  现货沥青于5100上方交投，短期内沥青价格继续看涨，下方支撑位置关注5070一线。技术面四小时走势图上，k线目前运行于布林带上轨下方，布林带开口有走缓迹象；短期均线勾头向上发散运行，KDJ勾头向上发散运行，附图MACD双线勾头向上延伸，红色动能增强；综合来看，沥青将继续震荡上行。操作上张祥说金建议低多为主，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。

  

  1、5100Nearby, stop loss5070, Objective5180

  

  silverTechnical analysis:

  

  Spot Silver Currently in16.8美元附近震荡，短期内白银价格同样看涨，四小时走势图上看，布林带开口向上，kThe line runs below the upper track of the Bollinger Bands, and the moving average diverges upwards,MA5andMA10The moving average golden cross continues to rise16.7The primary support position is formed nearby, as shown in the attached imageMACDFast slow line0The golden cross runs above the axis, and the red kinetic energy column first appears;Looking online for an hour, the Bollinger Bands show an opening,kThe line runs above the middle track of the Bollinger Belt,MA5/MA10The turning point of the moving average is downward, as shown in the attached figureMACDFast slow line0Adhesive operation above the axis, red kinetic energy column shrinkage,KDJ拐头向下，指标中性偏强，综合来看，白银震荡偏多；操作上张祥说金建议低多为主，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。

  

  1month13日间现货沥青可参考操作建议：

  

  1、16.7Nearby, stop loss16.5, Objective17.0

  

  21:30U.S.A12Monthly retail sales rate, US12monthPPIMonthly rate

  

  22:30Federal Reserve2017yearFOMC票委哈克就“经济流动性”发表讲话

  

  23:00U.S.A1月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值、美国11Monthly commercial inventory rate

  

  The next day02:00From the United States to1month13Total number of oil drilling in the current week

  

  缘聚缘散，云卷云舒，不忘初心，方得始终★笔者 VX:zxsj85 Penguins:2509510269★

  

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