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Cad : 盘整持稳 —  (3month7day)

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Focus:
•守稳25dayMA见持稳发展
•阻力参考0.9800•0.9700*•0.9660•0.9500
•支撑参考0.9975*•1.0100


加元周四窄幅调整,但仍运行于0.98区间,在周五美国和加拿大发布就业报告之前,市场避免大的波动。加元仍可望持稳偏强发展,今晚加拿大亦将会公布2month 份就业报告。油价再创纪录新高以及美元走软共同对加元构成支撑。然而,加拿大央行周初发表态度温和的货币政策声明暗示未来数月将进一步采取宽松的货币政 策,令加元潜在涨幅相比起欧洲货币大为逊色。图表所见,随机指标和MACD指标均显示稍微偏软之盘整走势。而图表亦见加元或许可假设于下降通道内运行,顶 部及底部目前分别处于1.01and0.9660水平。此外周二守稳之25天平均线,止住前期跌幅,因此目前关键亦会留意处于0.9975of25天平均线会否 失守,破位则见机会探试上述通道之顶部位置。另一方面,较近阻力可望先探升至0.98关口,而关键则仍在0.97之上月高位;明显突破可望延伸较大动力, 进一步目标将参考至0.95Gateway.

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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