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Wednesday's data shows that the United States1Monthly factory orders decrease2.5%,和预估相符。民间就业服务机构ADP Employer ServicesThe report released on Wednesday shows that the United States2月民间部门就业人数减少23,000人,为2003year4月以来最差。美元兑欧元以及美元指数再创新低,对美国 经济增长悲观情绪持续拖累美元表现。此外,crude oil库存之意外调降亦助长油价之大幅反弹,能源价格上涨增强了作为对抗通膨的gold魅力,黄金现货再创纪录高位, 路透显示周三最高价格为991.80USD.
黄金走势依然摆出强劲姿态,周四直逼1000美元大关。周三黄金之具体调整在技术情势上为有利之修正形态,在一轮平仓盘之结算动作后,有助于金价蓄势再踏 上升途。再者,美元疲势依然,而周五则会公布关键之就业报告,鉴于周三在就业数据上见不利先兆,故对于周五数据难许乐观,此情此景应有助于金价上攻 1000关口。技术分析在一转大回环后,整体形势未见太大变动,平均线仍保持多头平衡排列,预计9 Balance moving average965.20美元为重要支撑,周二之大调整亦见仅触及9天平均线而回升,故见此区之关键。较近支持预计在981and971Horizontal. On the other hand,993can 望为目前较近阻力,下一级阻力将在995to1000美元之区域,估计投资者亦可能在金价最终触及1,000美元前锁定获利,故慎防此区前之区域出现较明显 之回吐压力。倘若见足够动力冲破此区,延伸上望目标将看至1005or1015USD.
London Gold 3month6day
Predicting early wave amplitude:981.00 ─ 993.00
Support bit:971.00─ 960.00
Resistance level:1005.00 ─ 1015.00
(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )