张祥说金：1month12日早评现货沥青、现货白银投资走势分析

  Message analysis:

  

  Early Thursday morning Beijing time00:20，特朗普召开了大选获胜以来的首场记者会。会议期间，特朗普并未发表任何有关基本财政计划的言论，令投资者感到失望，美元因此由涨转跌，跌幅达0.7[%]，达到年内低点，油价由此得到了提振。

  

  Wednesday Beijing Time（1month11日）美国能源信息署（EIA）公布数据显示，美国1month6Day and WeekEIAcrude oil库存增逾40010000 barrels,原油库存增幅为2016year11month11日当周以来最大。数据公布后油价短线下跌约0.5USD.

  

  具体数据显示，美国1month6Day and WeekEIAIncrease in crude oil inventory409.7Ten thousand barrels, expected increase116.2Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased705.1Ten thousand barrels; Increase in gasoline inventory502.3Ten thousand barrels, expected increase163.8Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value830.7Ten thousand barrels; Refined oil inventory increase835.6Ten thousand barrels, expected increase89.9Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value1005.1Ten thousand barrels.

  

  crude oilEIA利空为何先暴跌后暴涨

  

  暴跌原因：北京时间周三（1month11Day) Evening23:30United States Energy Information Administration（EIA）Published as of1month6Increase in inventory of crude oil storage in the current week409.7Ten thousand barrels, with an increase of2016year11month11The largest increase since the beginning of the week, with an expected increase116.2Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease705.1Ten thousand barrels.EIA数据公布后，美油布油双双短线下挫。

  

  暴涨原因：日线延续大阴下探，短期均线组开始拐头死叉，我们昨日提到近期关键支撑处在4890一线，下破则小中期调整格局成立，制空到该支撑位置附近步伐需要减缓，这里也是多头在价格下跌于埋伏多单的绝佳位置。

  

  沥青技术面分析：

  

  现货沥青再度站上5000整数关口，技术面四小时图看，k线运行于布林带中轨下方，布林带有缩口迹象；短期均线勾头向上拟交金叉，附图上KDJ勾头向上发散运行，MACD双线勾头粘合向上，绿色动能大幅减弱；综合来看，短期沥青上涨动能较强，操作上张祥说金建议回落做多为主。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。

  

  1month12日间现货沥青可参考操作建议：

  

  1、4980Nearby, stop loss4950, Objective5080

  

  silverTechnical analysis:

  

  Spot Silver 在昨日晚间也小幅跌了一波，但在笔者看来这是短暂反弹迹象白银还会再涨回来，白银建议保持做多不变。从技术面上讲，小时线上，K线运行于布林带下轨附近，MA5AndMA10交死叉下行，MACD双线亦交死叉下行，绿色量能缩减；四小时线上，布林带开口上行，KThe line runs above the middle track of the Bollinger Belt,MA5AndMA10下行，MACD双线在零轴上方交死叉下行，绿色量能略有增加。综合来看，操作上张祥说金建议区间操作即可，破位顺势操作。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。

  

  1month12日间现货沥青可参考操作建议：

  

  1、16.6Nearby, stop loss16.4, Objective17.0

  

  2、17.0Near empty, stop loss17.2, Objective16.6

  

  Today's Focus:

  

  20:30European Central Bank Announces Minutes of Monetary Policy Meeting

  

  21:30From the United States to1month7Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States12Monthly Import Price Index Monthly Rate

  

  21:30Federal Reserve2017yearFOMC票委哈克就经济前景发表讲话

  

  21:45Federal Reserve2017yearFOMC票委埃文斯就当前经济状况和货币政策发表演说

  

  23:30From the United States to1month6Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory

  

  The next day02:45Federal Reserve2017yearFOMC票委卡普兰参加达拉斯地区商会年会活动

  

  缘聚缘散，云卷云舒，不忘初心，方得始终★笔者 VX:zxsj85 Penguins:2509510269★

  

★文/Writing   张祥说金