Swiss franc : (3month3day)

瑞郎上周连日上涨，并触及纪录新高至1.0408，对美国经济的担忧和美国将进一步降息的预期令美元承压，相应持续推动瑞郎上扬。此外，数据显示瑞士经济见改善之迹象，亦给予瑞士央行维持利率不变的空间。智库KOF上周公布2monthKOFThe leading indicator is1.65，1月指标修正后为1.75, previous value is1.70。
波浪理论分析，瑞郎仍运行大型第(IV)浪内(B)Within the waves(e)Within the waves(5)浪。由于瑞郎上周升穿2month1Daily high1.0727，故相信法郎仍运行大型第(IV)浪内(B)Within the waves(e)Within the waves(5)Waves. from07year6month13Daily low1.2468Start running the large section(IV)Within the waves(B)Within the waves(e)浪，由1.2468to07year8month6Daily high1.1814by(e)Within the waves(1)Waves,1.1814to07year8month16Daily low1.2213by(e)Within the waves(2)Waves,1.2213to07year11month23Daily high1.0883by(e)Within the waves(3)Waves,1.0883to07year12month21Daily low1.1594by(e)Within the waves(4)Waves,1.1594至现在仍运行大型第(IV)Within the waves(B)Within the waves(e)Within the waves(5)浪。预料此第(5)浪仍有机会上升并上升至1.02-1.03Horizontal.
As seen in the chart indicators,MACDandSTC反映瑞郎之持续强势，但STC已进入超买区域，预示回调之风险。预计较近支撑先为5Balance moving average1.0635水平，下一级支持则见于10Balance moving average1.0790水平；预计当前考验阻力将为1.04关口；预计进一步延伸上阻则会见至1.0350Horizontal and1.0200水平，较重要之目标则为1.00关口。在风险情绪之推动下，预计瑞郎本周仍见持续上扬之动力，波幅估计处于1.0200to1.0640。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )