Wan'er Gold and Silver:1month11现货沥青连日大阴，晚间EIA再来助力

Wan'er Gold and Silver:1month11现货沥青连日大阴，晚间EIA再来助力

Last week, we were still optimistic about the bullish trend in asphalt. On Monday, we gave bullish analysts a boost and saw a stepwise decline without any correction!这里提出一点，台阶式下跌预示的是单边行情，在没有明显的顶部或底部形态，不要博逆势单!I will analyze why asphalt plummeted last night:

　　1Irancrude oilExports are still increasing, raising doubts in the market about the extent to which OPEC member countries are complying with the agreement;

　　2International crude oil is still in a positive market, and the fundamentals of oversupply in the oil market are difficult to shake;

　　3Trump took office within the week, and US energy companies ranked third in a row last week10An increase in the number of active drilling rigs per week may have an impact on the international crude oil market;

　　4.也是最重要的一点：伊拉克是石油输出国组织(OPEC)The second largest crude oil producing country in China, according to information from its Ministry of Petroleum,12Southern IraqBasraThe export volume of terminal crude oil has reached a record high35110000 barrels/日。当然错单就是错单，再怎么坚持扛单，都很难说能够获利出局。不要把套单当中线持仓，所谓的长线是方向正确的时候等待利润扩大，而不是方向做反眼睁睁的看着亏损扩大，关于解套方案请关注笔者薇信js6486The author will provide specific solutions based on Monday's real-time market situation.

　　笔者总结行情的暴涨暴跌都有自身的原因，关于减产我们需要关注，这个是金融现货市场，暴涨暴跌的消息面只是马后炮，沥青日内会有反弹，关注4950The pressure level.

　　沥青：四小时上看，因减产计划仍在进行，沥青开始修正，布林带开口，K线震投逾布林带下轨附近，下方受布林带下轨于4900一线支撑，均线MA5AndMA10向下交死叉运行，副图MACD绿色动能缩量并伴随快慢线向下交死叉运行，指标弱势，KDJ超买区三线拐头向上。

　　小时线上看，今日沥青至昨日探底4890附近后部分回吐，布林带向下缩口，上方布林带中轨于52.2附近形成阻力，均线MA5AndMA10alongK线方向缠绕运行，绿色动能缩量，红色动能放量。

　　综合来看，从长期各技术指标来看沥青有强烈的反弹需求，今日BMIAnnounced due to convictionOPECWe will comply with the agreement to implement production reduction, and the oil market materials will2017The balance was restored in the middle of the year, resulting in partial backflow of asphalt. But with the eveningAPIThe emergence of negative inventory is expected to lead to a consolidation of asphalt at a low level in the evening, with an upward view in the evening4950一线的强有力阻力位，操作上还是空单为主。等待有合适机会婉儿老师威信js6486I will conduct further analysis and reminders. Those who are good at guarding are good at hunting, and those who understand relaxation and discipline can better survive in the market.