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美联储强调了就业市场的强度

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Huitong Network1month6Daily News - Friday(1month6day)亚市盘中,美元指数跳空低开低走后持续上扬,现交投于101.64frontline.

according toFX678Observation, Daoming Securities(TD)State that the Federal Reserve12月货币政策会议纪要公布后,美元续跌。纪要的整体基调鹰派,美联储强调了就业市场的强度,并渲染了财政政策的范围。具体观点如下。

道明:美元持续高位回落抑或调整涨势,需看非农脸色

考虑到潜在财政刺激政策的利好影响,美联储在某种程度上淡化了对金融条件的冲击,并强调较强势美元可能令通胀涨势放缓。委员们仍强调了未来刺激政策存大量不确定性,令美元从本周稍早录得的14年高位回落。

美元已将近期美国利率市场和美联储立场的转变计价在内。的确,美元汇率已超过传统衡量指标录得的公允价值,且在温和下跌后,与利率水平间仍存在近两个标准差。从三个月风险反转和其他仓位指标来看,也处于极值,暗示存在逼仓风险。

整体而言该行认为,美元已基本上将近期美联储立场的转变计价在内,提升了市场对美国12月非农就业报告的关注度。汇通网指出,北京时间周五21:30To be announced2016year12月美国季调后非农就业人口变动,需关注。

美元延续涨势料需美国12月非农表现强劲,否则极有可能温和回撤位,因估值和仓位指标将从当前水平调整。
Federal Reservehttp://news.fx678.com/news/keywords/fed.shtml
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