The issue of oil supply will continue until2017year

Huitong Network1month3Daily News - Tuesday(1month3day)，Oil Price Information ServiceCo founder and Global Energy Analysis Director Klossa(Tom Kloza)AcceptingCNBCDuring the interview, it was stated that the oil supply issue will continue until2017Year,2016The continuous upward trend of oil prices in the year may lead to2017The year gradually faded away.

2016The annual oil price increase is gratifying

2016In, the trend of oil prices was recorded from2009The largest increase since the beginning of the year, with a rise of nearly45%, promotingcrude oilBecoming the best performing energy department of the year. Therefore, especially in theOPECMember States and NonOPECOn the premise that oil producing countries have reached a production reduction agreement, investors and crude oil companies are looking forward to oil prices2017There is a trend of continued rebound in the year.

Analyst: Supply and demand constraints price space, don't expect oil prices to rise again45%

11month30Day,OPECreach2008The first production reduction agreement since the beginning of the year once urged oil prices to rise by nearly a week12%; With the help ofOPECThe momentum of the news, oil prices12The month reached a new historical high for the year. However, Klossa stated that the production reduction agreement once pushed up oil prices, but if the reduction cannot be implemented, it will also lay the groundwork for a decline in oil prices.

The oversupply situation will continue

Last week, Klossa acceptedCNBCof "Futures Now"During the program interview, it was stated that“2017There will be a shortage of crude oil supply in the year, but this situation mainly occurs in2017In the first half of the year

Klossa stated that oil prices may recover to2015year5Monthly high point62.83dollar/Barrel, but the market is skeptical about whether oil prices can further rise. This means that oil can still soar23%Left and right, but in the2017The further upward trend of annual oil prices is limited.

Klossa added, 'We believe thatOPECMember States and NonOPECOil producing countries will adhere to the implementation of production reduction to a certain extent, but2017The compliance rate with the production reduction in the second quarter of this year will be weakened, and even the reduction will ultimately lead to bankruptcy

In other words, the worst scenario would be,OPECMember States and NonOPECOil producing countries will shelve production cuts. However, in addition to the global production reduction agreement, Klossa also believes that domestic factors have exacerbated the oversupply of oil.

Klossa pointed out that shale gas fields have provided tremendous impetus for the prosperity of energy production in the United States; Klossa believes, "As you can see, the forward price of crude oil will rise to55dollar/Barrels of crude oil from shale oil fields such as Texas, North Dakota, and even Oklahoma will unleash huge supply potential. This will be a huge impact or decisive factor that will lead to the collapse of oil prices
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