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2month12日重要数据公布:

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15:45 France12月经常账收支.前值36 A deficit of one billion yuan
17:30 britain1Monthly consumer price index(CPI)月率. forecast-0.6%.前值+0.6%
17:30 britain1Monthly consumer price index(CPI)年率. forecast+2.3%.前值+2.1%
17:30 britain1Monthly Retail Price Index(PRI)月率. forecast-0.5%.前值+0.6%
17:30 britain1Monthly Retail Price Index(PRI)年率. forecast+4.1%.前值+4.0%
17:30 britain1Monthly deduction of loan retail price index(PRI-X)月率. forecast-0.4%.前值+0.5%
17:30 britain1Monthly deduction of loan retail price index(PRI-X)年率. forecast+3.3%.前值+3.1%
18:00 Germany2monthZEW经济预期指数. forecast-45.0.前值-41.6
18:00 Germany2monthZEW现况指. forecast50.8.前值56.6

2month11day
港金息率:平息
LondongoldMorning order price:925.50
London gold afternoon fixing price:918.00
London Silver Set Price:17.37
黄金伦敦收盘价(00:15):920.45 / 921.15 黄金纽约收盘价(03:15):922.70 / 923.40

NYMEX 4月期金:
开市价:926.00 - 收市价:926.80
最高价:929.50 - 最低价:920.00

美元本周可能延续其近期的涨势,虽然美国经济增长是否将停滞是个重大忧虑因素,但其大部分已然为汇市所消化。如今焦点已转移至其它地区的负面新闻,尤其是在上周英国央行降息,以及欧洲央行(ECB)总裁特里谢发表关于货币政策的相对温和言论以后。市场已经消化掉大量来自美国的负面消息,但是,通过解读欧洲央行的言论可以看出,其在货币政策上所保持的强硬姿态已略有松动,其重心更多的倾向于经济增长,市场已在揣测欧洲央行将于何时降息。上周四欧洲央行维持其指标利率于4.0%不变,但欧洲央行总裁特里谢在之后的记者会上称,欧元区经济增长面临下行风险,暗示今年会下调利率。美元指数在上周的五个交易日上涨1.6%, for2006year6月以来表现最好的一周。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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