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Londongold上周走势先软后,踏入鼠年之际,金银齐鸣。美元普遍反弹,令上周初金价一度曾下试至885水平。随着欧洲央行维持利率不变及英国降息,市场担心通货膨胀压力加大、金融市场发展态势以及各国央行放宽信贷条件等,这些因素又再度引发黄金之买盘,黄金重新回上900美元上方,受尼日利亚、北海、俄罗斯等地crude oil产量可能下滑等消息刺激,国际油价上周五大幅飙升,NYMEXcrude oilfutures价格重回每桶91美元上方,而美元汇率全线下跌,令金价最高一度触碰920Horizontal. 目前以周线图分析,目前金价走势正处于背驰,但此情况亦要有三级背驰状况以上才有显著效果。而9周平均线由去年年中至今已分道扬镳,当中出现数周之小回大涨情况,故870水平为关键水准。日线图见上周三金价一度下调低于25天平均线支持,翌日已重回此区上方,在小幅修正后金又再踏上升途。目前9Days and4The moving averages of the scales are located at911and903水平,下方25天平均线为897美元,由于平均线顺序排列,故目前倾向横盘局面机会居多。 本周而言,预期金价早段在913to928美元内运行,928水平为上方之参考阻力,能明确突破则可进一步看至937and948水平;再而上方969美元。下方倘若失守913美元,则会回看904美元之分界线,及后则以890and885水平为重要支撑。短线可在910to931美元内区间内上落买卖。
London Gold 2month11day to 2month15day Predicted wave amplitude:
Support bit:913.60 ─ 904 ─ 890 ─ 883 - 877
Resistance level:928 ─ 937 ─ 943 - 953
London Gold 2month11Daily forecast early wave amplitude:915 - 926
Support bit:910 ─ 903
Resistance level:931 ─ 937
(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )