GBP:1.99破位见大弱 ▼▼▼ 17/8

View All · Published on 2007-8-17 16:45:50

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Focus:
·关键趋向线支持1.99Defeat
·高息货币持续承压

英国国家统计局公布7Monthly retail sales increased compared to the previous month0.7%, for2月以来最大增幅，较上年同期增长4.4%此前预期较前月增长0.2%。市场本预期7Monthly retail sales increased compared to the previous month0.2%, an increase compared to the same period last year3.4%. Britain7月零售销售意外上升，令英镑短暂上扬，但市场普遍解除日圆利差交易部位，这超过了经济数据的影响，英镑曾一度跌破1.98Pass to1.9769，但美股尾市回顺，令英镑重新回升至1.98关口上方，但反覆市况持续，至今早亚太股市普遍下挫，利差交易平仓再度促使英镑回落至1.9755水平。预计下一关键支持将会见于50日保历加通道下轨1.9640Horizontal and250Balance moving average1.9570水平，较近阻力则见于 1.98and1.9850水平，整体走势已显现疲态依然。
**Suggested strategy:
1.9900/20沽出英镑，1.9980Stop loss,1.9590Closing target

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英国报纸East Anglian Daily Times周三援引央行货币政策委员会(MPC)委员森坦斯的话称，7月通膨意外下滑令人鼓舞，但中期前景仍有忧虑。他表示7Monthly consumer price index(CPI) The year-on-year growth rate has decreased to1.9%, for2006year3月以来最低，与央行的预估大体一致。