New Zealand dollars : (2month4day)

纽元方面，上周亦见走势持续扬升；上月曾由最高位0.7931回落至今年1month22日最低位0.7383水平后再上升至上周五最高报0.7959。现阶段纽元已由上年10月至现在都在0.74-0.79之间上落，故预料纽元应该有机会在今次的上升浪中突破0.79阻力，更有机会升穿去年7month24日最高位0.8107。波浪理论分析，纽元有机会运行大型第(V)Within the waves(5)伸延浪。纽元在7month24日的最高位0.8107完成大型上升浪的第(III)Waves,0.8107to8month17Daily low0.6639为大型的第(IV)调整浪。0.6639Start running the large section(V)浪，并以次一级的伸延浪运行。由0.6639to8month27Daily high0.7272For the large section(V)Within the waves(1)Stretching waves,0.7272to9month10Daily low0.6823For the large section(V)Within the waves(2)Stretching waves,0.6823to10month15Daily high0.7785For the large section(V)Within the waves(3)Stretching waves,0.7785开始已双重三运行第(4)伸延浪，故0.7785to10month22Daily low0.7364For the large section(V)Within the waves(4)Stretching within the waves(a)Waves,0.7364to11month7Daily high0.7891For the large section(V)Within the waves(4)Stretching within the waves(b)Waves,0.7891to11month12The low point of the day0.7434For the large section(V)Within the waves(4)Stretching within the waves(c)Waves,0.7434to12month12Daily high0.7936为第(4)Stretching within the waves(x)Waves,0.7396to12month18Daily low0.7505为另一组的(a)Waves,0.7505Until this year1month15Daily high0.7931为另一组的(b)Waves,0.7931to1month22Daily low0.7383为另一组的(c)浪，亦代表第(4)伸延浪在此完结。由0.7383至现在为大型第(V)Within the waves(5)伸延浪，预计此第(5)伸延浪将升穿24-07-2007的最高位0.8107至第(5)伸延浪运行完毕。

其它技术分析，纽元前周跌至50周平均线和保历加通道底部后反后弹。现在此50天平均线和保历加通道底部在0.7460，加上日线图上的250天平均线亦在0.7460附近，故应有不俗的支持。若跌穿此支持,纽元有机会下试100周平均线即0.6980附近。上升阻力将在日线图上的保历加通道顶即0.7960附近，而重要阻力位则在去年7month24日最高位0.8107。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )