Industrial Investment: The US dollar dominates The non American pace is messy

Industrial Investment: The US dollar dominates The non American pace is messy
2016year12month29day
euro/dollar
On Wednesday, the US dollar index rebounded amidst strong expectations that the Federal Reserve will accelerate interest rate hikes next year, reaching a 14-year high on the day103.59However, in the late trading session, due to investors leaving long positions before the New Year holiday and adjusting their positions, the US dollar took back some of its previous gains and closed at103Above the integer level. The rise of the US dollar has brought enormous pressure to the euro bulls, and the euro/The US dollar hit its intraday high in early trading1.0478Then it quickly descended to1.04Below the front line On the same day, it closed slightly above this level and ended five consecutive suns. Announced by the United States on that day11Pending home sales in the month have declined, but support for the euro is limited. stay2016As the year draws to a close, it is expected that the euro may find it difficult to make any progress or maintain its position at1.04Narrow width sorting up and down the pass.
The daily chart plummeted to near the bottom overnight, and there may be limited space for short-term updates.4The downward momentum of the hourly chart has increased, maintaining a downward slope and approaching oversold. The exchange rate has fallen below the current bearish level20SMAThe moving average is1.0445There is resistance in the vicinity. As long as located in1.0420Below, there is still a retest of the year's low exchange rate1.0352The space. If broken, the test will be opened2002year7Monthly high1.0206The gate of.1The hourly chart is currently bottoming out and rebounding, but1.0480The strong resistance on the front line may become an obstacle to the sustained rebound of the exchange rate.
Support position:1.0350/1.0320/1.0290
Resistance level:1.0420/1.0455/1.0490
pound/dollar
The new wave of buying demand in the US dollar index has weighed on the pound. On that day in the UK11monthBBAThe changes in mortgage permits and net mortgage loans have both decreased compared to the previous values, respectively recorded as4.0710000 pieces and12.40£ 100 million, with the total mortgage loan being125.22Up to £ 100 million128.19Billion pounds. After the data was released, GBP/The US dollar accelerated its decline to its lowest point in the day1.2199, setting a two-month low and falling on the same day0.4%, falling for the seventh consecutive trading session. Analysts expect that if Trump implements fiscal stimulus policies next year, the upward inflationary pressure in the United States may further weaken the pound, and in addition, the UK will3Launch of the Lisbon Treaty in June50It is expected that the trend of the pound at the beginning of next year will not be particularly optimistic. Today you can follow the UK12monthNationwideMonthly and annual rates of housing price index.
Technically, the daily chart sales pressure is located at1.2240Currently, it constitutes short-term resistance.4The hourly chart shows a downward trend in risk, and the exchange rate remains significantly bearish20SMABelow,RSIAfter reaching the oversold level, enter consolidation mode. Lack of direction in kinetic energy indicators, located in100Below, the exchange rate enters consolidation mode and falls below1.2200Point to1.2082, for10month25Daily low.1Hour chart from1.2725The downward trend since the first line has remained intact.
Support position:1.2200/1.2170/1.2140
Resistance level:1.2300/1.2330/1.2385
dollar/Japanese yen
The US Dow was eager to try before 20000 points, but unfortunately it ultimately collapsed, causing a sharp drop in US stocks, prompting speculators to choose profit taking before the end of the year. The rise in risk aversion sentiment benefited the Japanese yen and the US dollar/The yen fell to107Near Daguan, near the bottom of the high level consolidation interval. United States10In, the yield of treasury bond also rose and fell, which also accelerated the rise of the yen. Today, the Asian Central Bank of Japan announced12month19-20The summary of opinions from the Japanese meeting shows that Japan still has a long way to go before inflation rebounds, but holds an optimistic attitude towards Japan's economic growth next year. After the release of meeting minutes, USD/The yen broke below the bottom of the range to116.72Or there may be a need for downward revision. Stay tuned for the number of initial and renewed claims for unemployment benefits in the United States last week.
The daily chart exchange rate remained within a small triangular range, clearly breaking through the top of this pattern at one point, but later remained within this pattern due to poor stock market conditions. If the exchange rate remains near the current price, the graph remains valid.4The hourly chart shows that the exchange rate remains above the moving average, while technical indicators lose directional momentum and remain near the central line. The exchange rate is expected to remain fluctuating within the range.1Hour chart117.80When encountering resistance nearby, it quickly oscillates and slides down to117Near the checkpoint, maintaining below this level will remain weak.
Support position:116.55/116.20/115.80
Resistance level:117.80/118.10/118.40
dollar/Cad
dollar/The Canadian dollar is fully recovered from11After the downward trend since mid month, there has been a high point retreat, and investors are concerned about the US dollar/The Canadian dollar carried out profit taking, and the exchange rate ended four consecutive days of gains. The closing report1.3551. Overnight, international oil prices fluctuated slightly, with the United StatesAPIcrude oilThe unexpected increase in inventory has put pressure on oil prices, limiting the growth of the Canadian dollar. American Petroleum Institute(API)On Wednesday, as of12month23During the week, US crude oil inventories increased42010000 barrels to4.902Billion barrels, analysts estimate a decrease150Ten thousand barrels. However, oil prices are still on an upward trajectory, while the Canadian dollar is bucking the trend. After a short-term correction, the Canadian dollar may continue its decline. Pay attention to the trend of the US dollar today.
Although the daily chart fell from a high level overnight, it remained at1.3540The rebound trend will continue above the first line.4Hour chart from1.3085Continuously rebounding nearby, presentingVThe state of type rebound. The recent upward trend of the hourly chart remains intact, with short-term moving averages diverging upwards.
Support position:1.3500/1.3450/1.3400
Resistance level:1.3600/1.3650/1.3700