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British Industrial Alliance(CBI)上周公布8月英国总工业订单反弹至逾12年来最高位,价格预期差值亦上升。CBI称其发布的8The difference in monthly total industrial orders has risen to positive9, for 1995year5月以来最强,且高于预估的负3. British Industrial Alliance(CBI)数据亦显示8月通膨预期上升,这均有助提振英镑,因其提供了英国经济强健的进一步证 据,对英国央行采取强硬立场构成支持。
英镑上周全线走强,因金融市场趋稳鼓舞了投资者的风险意愿,由此推升了高收益货币以及股市。技术指标所见,RSIandSTC经过上周之价位回升后,亦带动两 组指标同时呈现明显回升,而MACD亦见自低位回弹,并走近至讯号线;另一方面,5天平均线亦与10天平均线交叠,或已见孕育短期利好交叉,可期盼若英镑 短期内向上作进一步破位,将会令整体技术上见明显之利好讯号。预计当前阻力将指向50Days and25Balance moving average2.0180/2.0190水平,此区亦为50日保 历加通道中轨位置,更为重要的是此区为建伸自7Monthly high2.0655而成之下降趋向线,直至此区之突破才见明确之上升走势,往后见延伸阻力将可看至 2.0300and2.0400Horizontal. Looking back at the support bit2.00Gateway and1.9920水平,尤其后者为前期之区间上限,倘若回破此区将见英镑始终未能脱离弱势,下试 支持将为1.99Horizontal.
(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com)