云语点金：怎样才能做一个成熟的原油投资者

 云语点金：怎样才能做一个成熟的crude oilinvestor
  
  原油投资市场是一个财富再分配的场所，不同投资水平的人在这里互相博弈。投资技术高的人可以在这里轻松获利，而技术水平低的人则极有可能沦落为别人的提款机。那么，我们该如何培养投资技术，成为一名成熟的投资者呢？
  
  I认识市场
  
  一般而言，人们来到原油市场就是为了获取财富。想要获得财富，首先要做的就是通过不断学习总结，积累经验，形成一套成熟的交易系统，这样才能在市场中获利。
  
  原油市场是没有硝烟的战场，在这个市场里的较量属于谋略的较量。只有把市场理解到这个层次，才能说明为什么很多投资者会出现亏损。我们应该借鉴战争的规律，比如孙子兵法。
  
  兵者，国之大事，死生之地，存亡之所，不可不察也。从某种程度上，这句话道出了市场的状况，而很多投资者却不理解。下面，我们就为大家讲解一下，到底该如何把自己培养成一名成熟的投资者。
  
  IItechnical analysis
  
  在交易之初，一般人都会有这样的疑虑："下一秒行情会如何走？到底什么条件才能下单交易？"这种困惑看似合理，但其实是很多投资者犯的第一个错误，他觉得只有知道了这个才能赚钱。
  
  其实，短期行情的波动是随机性的不可以预测也是测不准的，我们只需要知道未来发生的大致可能性即可。只有长期趋势是容易把握的，例如巴菲特的价值投资，长期来看他一定可以赚钱。这可能就是我们赖以战胜市场的方法。
  
  Mathematical expectation is a fundamental concept in probability theory. Simply put, mathematical expectation is the average value obtained by repeating the same behavior over a large number and range. It is not always expected to make money every time, and no one can know whether a certain behavior will make money. However, when this behavior is repeated in sufficient quantities, the overall result is positive. As the number of transactions increases, the probability of transactions approaches50%It's the same as flipping a coin.
  
  Simply put, the trading system tells you when to open and close positions. For example, the Golden Fork Dead Fork operating system and the Golden Fork do long; Short selling during a dead cross; Wait until there is no trading signal. This is a complete trading system. The trading system should include: screening of entry points, setting of stop loss and take profit levels, and fund management.
  
  IIIFundamental analysis
  
  When the market is subjected to upward external forces, prices should rise; On the contrary, when the market is subjected to downward external forces, prices should fall, and the inherent logic of all fundamental analysis is based on this logic. But this logic is flawed: firstly, we need to study the initial motion state; Secondly, force cannot generate motion, but it can generate acceleration.
  
  Why is it inaccurate to perform fundamental analysis on time? Why do prices sometimes rise despite clear negative news? What's even more embarrassing is that many fundamental analysts or news analysts often withdraw their conclusions in opposite directions! However, even so, why do so many people still believe it?
  
  我个人认为这是经典市场经济学的结果，而对于经典经济学个人以为：是有些人希望全世界相信。对于价格的大幅下跌，一定要给出一个合理的解释，才能让大众所接受亏损的事实，"我不想知道怎么来的，我只想知道是怎么没的"。
  
  IV趋势逻辑
  
  If analyzing the market according to the requirements of the trading system, rather than predicting the market, trend logic should be used to guide trading. Any attempt to accurately predict the market is like finding a moon in water. What we need to know, the most important thing for us is--The mathematical expectations of our various operations are the foundation of trading.
  
  So, how to build a trend trading system for trend traders? Firstly, we need to find a standard for judging trends: it can be an indicator, or it can bek线。然后，我们可以根据对市场趋势的判断，来明确下单方向。
  
  其次，我们可以根据以往交易历史中的胜率、盈亏比例、单次亏损限制等来确定我们的仓位。最后，根据我们对趋势的判断依据确定止盈止损，在此基础上制定交易策略。
  
  5、 Trading psychology
  
  Before the system, all problems were not psychological issues, but systemic issues. Many investors who cannot hold onto orders are not psychologically ill, but they simply do not know when to sell profitable orders, and the same goes for carrying orders. They do not know where to stop losses, which is why they are reluctant to cut orders.
  
  非知之艰行之惟艰，交易其实主要面对两个问题，一个是执行问题，另一个是人性问题。执行问题的根本原因是对自己的系统不自信，或者是说，投资者根本就没有交易系统。
  
  当交易多年有了成熟的交易系统后，就面临下一个问题，最难攻克的交易心理--人性。这一关过了，你的心态以及交易水平大大提高。所以有人说：交易之路是孤独的，没有人能帮你，最大的敌人是自己。一个真正的投资者并不会如赌博般随意投放资金，他只会投放于有足够可能性获取利润的工具上。更多交流及实时操作建议，请添加分析师云语点金（VLetter:yh7bbb Penguins:3183275174）