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1month14日重要数据公布:

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日本国定假期
15:45 France11月经常帐收支,前值赤字27Billion
17:00 Italy11月经季节调整工业生产月率,前值-0.3%
17:00 Italy11月经季节调整工业生产年率,前值-1.5%
17:30 britain12Monthly Core Producer Price Index(PPI)月率,前值+0.1%
17:30 britain12Monthly Core Producer Price Index(PPI)Annual rate, previous value+2.2%
17:30 britain12month PPI投入物价月率,前值+1.7%
17:30 britain12month PPI投入物价年率,前值+10.2%
17:30 britain12month PPI产出物价月率,前值+0.5%
17:30 britain12month PPI产出物价年率,前值+4.5%
18:00 eurozone11月工业生产月率,前值+0.4%
18:00 eurozone11月工业生产年率,前值+3.8%

美国联邦储备理事会主席贝南克上周的讲话强烈暗示,联储将大幅降息支撑疲弱的经济。贝南克意外地对美国经济前景恶化进行了直白的表述,不过他补充称联储目前不认为经济将陷入衰退。他向市场保证,若有需要联储已准备好采取实质性的额外措施以支撑经济成长,并将采取明确且及时的行动。衡量市场对联储利率政策预期的短期利率futures价格反映,市场预期1month29-30日美联储降息50Bps to3.75%的机率升至94%,之前该机率为68%。围绕联储将采取激进降息举措的预期上升,也令美国两年期和10年期公债的利差升至2004年末以来最高位。贝南克在发表此番直率言论前,经济学家近期不约而同地发表了这样的看法,美国经济正处在衰退的边缘,或者已经陷于衰退。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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