API重挫油价，EIAHow to layout?12.14Crude oil operation suggestions

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Wednesday(12month14day)crude oil价格亚盘初区间震荡于52.50—53.50美元附近，据数据显示，API库存暴增470万桶，这无疑令晚间EIA库存拉响空头警报，且随后美联储决议强势来袭，市场普遍预计加息利空原油市场，油价短线恐重挫。

U.S.AWTIcrude oil1monthfuturesTuesday(12month13day)Income increase0.15USD, or0.28%Report52.98dollar/Bucket. Brent crude oil2月期货周二收涨0.03USD, or0.05%Report55.72dollar/Bucket.


API暴增47010000 barrelsEIA看向何方?
API具体数据显示，截至12month9During the current week, US crude oil inventories increased468Ten thousand barrels, to4.901Billion barrels, analysts estimate a decrease160Ten thousand barrels. Increase in inventory of Kuxin crude oil63.2Ten thousand barrels.


此外，汽油库存增加390.5万桶，为今年1月份以来最大增幅，分析师预估增加260Ten thousand barrels. Refined oil inventory increased last week23.3万桶，分析师预估为减少16.7万桶。美国上周原油进口量增加40.610000 barrels/Day, to83010000 barrels/Day.


EIA市场预测：调查结果显示，截至12month9US crude oil inventories are expected to decrease this week150Ten thousand barrels, gasoline inventory will increase260万桶，精炼油库存则将减少20Ten thousand barrels.


截止北京时间19：27，国际原油价格下跌0.86USD, down by1.62%Report52.10dollar/Bucket.


周哲金认为：因API暴增晚间EIA库存反转概率较大，建议投资者谨慎做多，先观察即将公布的OPEC月报，若月报强势利多，将无惧EIA库存。若再度利空，原油价格极有可能跌回50Da Guan.


————原油技术面分析
从技术层面来看，日线上看昨日收取一根类十字星的阴线，K线突破布林上轨后回落至布林带上轨下方，布林带开口向上运行。各均线向上散发运行，呈多头排列。MACD快慢线运行在0轴上方，红色动能柱放量减缓，行情指标呈中性；4小时线上原油价格上方受阻回落，K线运行于布林带上中轨之间。


布林带开口运行，MA5/MA10均线黏合有交死叉向下运行趋势，下方支撑目前在52.0美元一线，附图MACDFast slow line0轴上方黏合运行，红色动能柱缩量，行情指标偏弱；综合分析来看，今日原油价格或将进一步回调，填补昨日高开缺口。近期重点重视51.5-53美元支撑和阻力位，建议维持区间操作，破位顺势而为即可。


Suggestions for US crude oil operations:
proposal52.5Short near the US dollar, stop loss0.4USD, target51.5美元破位看51.3USD First Line
由于个人初步预计EIA行情下跌可能性较大，固不建议布局多单。


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writing/Zhou Zhejin