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美元涨势或放缓美联储12月加息几无障碍

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Huitong Network12month5Daily News - Monday(12month5day)亚市尾盘,美元指数高位回落,盘初窄幅震荡走高后快速下探,冲高回落后高位震荡,现交投于101.36frontline.

according toFX678观察,巴克莱资本(Barclays Capital)的立场为,上周五(12month2day)Published in the United States11月非农就业报告扫除了美联储12月加息的障碍,因美国就业市场表现仍强劲,且美联储在就业最大化以及维持物价稳定的“双重使命”方面逐步取得进展。具体观点如下。

巴克莱:美联储12月加息几无障碍,但美元涨势或放缓

据汇通网了解,美国11Increase in non agricultural employment after the monthly adjustment17.8万,预期增加18万,前值由增加16.1万下修至增加14.2Ten thousand;10The monthly unemployment rate has decreased4.6%, for2007year8月以来新低,前值4.9%。

市场已充分计价美联储12月加息,本周纽约联储主席杜德利、芝加哥联储主席埃文斯及圣路易斯联储主席布拉德的讲话,料更多的是有关2017年美联储加息路径及步伐,而非对12月利率决议的看法。美债收益率的上涨似乎已停滞,在侯任总统特朗普尚未发出更多明确政策信号前,美债收益率续涨的空间料有限。

特朗普胜选后美元涨势似乎过度,其涨势料放缓,并陷于区间交投。

美国经济数据方面,北京时间周一23:00To be announced in the United States11monthISMNon manufacturing Purchasing Managers'Index(PMI),料涨至55.4,前值上涨54.8。北京时间周二(12month6day)21:30To be announced in the United States10月贸易帐,料录得贸易赤字423亿美元,前值赤字364亿美元,反转年中赤字收窄之势;23:00To be announced in the United States10月工厂订单月率,料上涨3.0%,前值上涨0.3%。北京时间周五(12month9day)23:00To be announced in the United States12月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值,料涨至94.5, Previous value93.8。

USD Index:http://quote.fx678.com/symbol/USD
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