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yen : 短期走势呈修正 ▼(1month8day)

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Focus:
•再试三角底部未果
•阻力参考107*•105**
•支撑参考110*•111.30

美元周一略为反弹,因疲弱就业报告未能引发美元更深的跌势,让部分交易商大失所望,进而回补空头部位,日圆亦自上周高位107.86Fallback to109区间。技术形势所见,日圆继11月后,上周再次触及大型三角区间之底部,但仍然未有突破之情况下,亦见日圆之回撤压力。指标所见,RSI自超买区域有明显之回抽迹象,显示日圆沉重之回吐需要;但MACDas well asSTC之持续走强势头则未能与之配合,或许日圆短期走势更为趋向反覆发展。而过去三个交易日,日圆都见争持于108to110水平,预计短期日圆若只属走势修正,亦应在110水平前已可止住跌幅,再而可重组动能强攻107区间,无论是上周高位107.86, to the extent that11month26Daily high117.20亦具一定参考价值,倘若可突破107关口,则或许日圆将续会展现更明显之上升,下一级关键见于105关口。反之,承接前述之假设,若110关口未能够守得住,则更为可能日圆将就近两周之上升作出相关回调,gold比率计算,50%回调见至111.30and61.8%回调见至112.10Horizontal.

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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