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Swiss franc: (1month7day)

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瑞士联邦统计局公布,瑞士12Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Growth compared to the previous month0.2%Growth compared to the same period last year2.0%, for1995year10月来的最高通膨年率。2007年瑞士平均通膨率为0.7%Below2006Of1.1%。瑞士通膨率触及逾12年高位,支撑了对该国央行可能需要升息以对抗物价压力的看法。但利率futuresDisplay,2008年全年瑞士指标利率料维持不变,因全球经济放缓预计将冲击瑞士经济并打压国内通膨。瑞郎于2008年开局连日上涨,至周五最高报1.1017,围绕全球经济的忧虑持续推高瑞郎。

波浪理论分析,瑞郎有机会运行大型上升浪的第(IV)浪内(C)Within the waves(2)伸延浪。假设瑞郎在11month23日最高位1.0883完成大型第(IV)Within the waves(B)Within the waves(e)浪。随后而来,将运行大型第(IV)Within the waves(C)浪,并以次一级的伸延浪运行,故1.0833to12month31Daily low1.1594For the large section(IV)Within the waves(C)Within the waves(1)Stretching waves,1.1594至现在有机会为大型第(IV)Within the waves(C)Within the waves(2)伸延浪,预料此第(2)伸延浪应该在1.0883to1.1020之间完结,并应该不会升穿1.0883水平,否则这个假设将被破坏。当运行完第(2)伸延浪后,第(3)伸延浪即下跌浪将会展开。

As seen in the chart indicators,MACD亦预示著走强之趋向,RSIandSTC亦见上升动能,估计短线强势仍可持续发展,较大阻力预计见于50日保历加通道下轨1.0950,其后关键之阻力参考1.09Gateway,11月份未能成功越过此区,估计若今趟可有效破关,将见延伸不俗升幅,下一级阻力将会先以1.08作为参考。至于50Days and25天平均线目前分别处于1.1330/70水平,可望成为短期之反制支持,较大支撑位则估计在1.15关口。经历了去年年尾之挫跌后,瑞郎似乎已于趋向线触底回弹,并有望再度延续其上升趋势,估计只要升破1.09之去年高位,上涨动力将见更为强稳,中期阻力预估为20年保历加通道下轨1.0360水平;不过,由于其相对较低息水平或难以给予瑞郎充份动力冲破1.00关口,此区域前方应对市场造成一定心理障碍。支持位方面,则会以历时近半年之大型趋向线作重要支撑,目前处于1.16, also for100天平均线位置。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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