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1month7日重要数据公布:

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14:45 Switzerland12Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate during menstruation•预测:2.6%•Previous value:2.6%
14:45 Switzerland12Unemployment rate without seasonal adjustment per month•预测:2.8%•Previous value:2.7%
17:30 eurozone1monthSentixInvestor confidence index•Previous value:11.9
18:00 eurozone12Monthly Enterprise Prosperity Index•Previous value:1.04
18:00 eurozone12Monthly Consumer Confidence Index•预测:-9.0 •Previous value:-8.0
18:00 eurozone12Monthly Economic Prosperity Index•预测:104.2 •Previous value:104.8
18:00 eurozone12Monthly Industrial Prosperity Index•预测:2.0 •Previous value:3.0
18:00 eurozone11Monthly Production Price Index(PPI)Monthly rate•Previous value:+0.6%
18:00 eurozone11Monthly Production Price Index(PPI)the annual rate•预测:+4.0%,前值:+3.3%
18:00 eurozone12Monthly Service Industry Prosperity Index•预测:13.0 •Previous value:14.0      
18:00 eurozone11Monthly unemployment rate•预测:7.2%•Previous value:7.2%  


美国上周五公布的报告显示,美国就业人口12Monthly addition1.8万,远低于增长7万的市场预期;全国失业率升至5%的逾两年高位,这突显出美国经济快速放慢。失业率升至5%较令市场意外,因一个月间升幅那么大是异同寻常的,出现这样大的变动,意味著经济和就业市场12月份颇为走疲,报告或会在1月美联储的议息会议上起到作用,令联储可能更为考虑会降息50个基点。数据公布后,美国利率futures跳涨,将美国联储在1月底降息50个基点的隐含机率推升至70%,且全面反映出降息25个基点的预期。如今分析员较以往任何时候都确信,美国经济正处于衰退边缘,华尔街三大投行--高盛、美林和摩根大通周五都加入了预测降息50个基点的阵营。不过随后公布的美国服务业指数略高于预期,部分缓解了疲弱就业报告对美元的拖累,但未能扭转美元疲态。美国制造业和楼市近几周显露出沉重疲态,令投资者对全球经济成长前景更加担忧,还恐防美国经济可能会步入衰退。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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